TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vadym Kucheriavyi vs Vasily Kondratenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115119711115––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:55 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeVasily Kondratenko to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVadym Kucheriavyi above · Vasily Kondratenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 70 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Vasily Kondratenko at 64.1%
70 points played in total.
H2H Vadym Kucheriavyi 4–7 Vasily Kondratenko Vadym Kucheriavyi has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kondratenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Kondratenko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kucheriavyi 1203 vs Kondratenko 1205
Kondratenko
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucheriavyi 40% vs Kondratenko 60%
Kondratenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucheriavyi 40% vs Kondratenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucheriavyi +1 · Kondratenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kondratenko) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucheriavyi 2.50 / Kondratenko 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Kondratenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13203324
Kucheriavyi2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 5 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Kondratenko1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 79 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 55 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKucheriavyi4wins
AwayKondratenko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKondratenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucheriavyi75%3 of 4
AwayKondratenko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucheriavyi4Kondratenko6n = 10Kondratenko took 6 of 10
S2Kucheriavyi5Kondratenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Kucheriavyi4Kondratenko6n = 10Kondratenko took 6 of 10
S4Kucheriavyi2Kondratenko4n = 6Kondratenko took 4 of 6
S5Kucheriavyi2Kondratenko1n = 3Kucheriavyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKucheriavyiKondratenkoKucheriavyi − KondratenkoBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.737.3−2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucheriavyiKondratenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 115 vs 242 / 54541.7%44.4%48 / 115 vs 242 / 545Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KondratenkoKucheriavyi 2.50/Kondratenko 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Kondratenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kucheriavyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 22 · 08:00V. Kucheriavyi2471070V. Kondratenko341112113
WJul 26 · 17:10V. Kucheriavyi4071111113V. Kondratenko31114971
LJun 7 · 14:40V. Kucheriavyi27381151V. Kondratenko4211119113
LMay 30 · 05:30V. Kucheriavyi23121551V. Kondratenko43101111113
LMay 9 · 07:00V. Kucheriavyi48711713102V. Kondratenko511161111123
WOct 26 · 11:50V. Kucheriavyi331111113V. Kondratenko219840
WOct 19 · 07:50V. Kucheriavyi50119117123V. Kondratenko42511511102
WSep 21 · 10:20V. Kucheriavyi46111194113V. Kondratenko3973111172
LJul 13 · 06:50V. Kucheriavyi218490V. Kondratenko331111113
V. Kucheriavyi10
WSep 27 · 15:40V. Kucheriavyi1.91111173S. Osipov1.809660WSep 27 · 13:10V. Kucheriavyi1.731111711113O. Miklukha2.0041311552LSep 19 · 12:50V. Kucheriavyi1.6771040V. Varchenko2.101112113LSep 19 · 10:50V. Mykhalchenko2.201311114113V. Kucheriavyi1.6115341192WSep 19 · 08:50V. Stukalov2.251110471V. Kucheriavyi1.5781211113LSep 19 · 07:50V. Kucheriavyi1.4464110D. Khavanskyi2.631111133LSep 19 · 06:50O. Stopin2.631211113V. Kucheriavyi1.4410680WSep 13 · 11:35V. Kucheriavyi1.441211113D. Khavanskyi2.6310830WSep 13 · 09:35V. Stukalov1.9111510V. Kucheriavyi1.801311113LSep 13 · 08:35V. Kucheriavyi1.61861141M. Khalenko2.2011119113
V. Kondratenko10
LSep 27 · 12:40S. Osipov2.631111133V. Kondratenko1.4486110WSep 27 · 10:40V. Varchenko2.635560V. Kondratenko1.441111113LSep 20 · 17:10V. Kondratenko1.40119971S. Kovalenko2.7581111113WSep 20 · 15:10V. Varchenko2.7511831142V. Kondratenko1.40311118113WSep 20 · 14:10V. Kondratenko1.7311101311103V. Mykhalchenko2.0081215932WSep 20 · 13:10O. Stopin3.001174111V. Kondratenko1.3671111133LSep 20 · 11:40V. Kondratenko1.8311711592Y. Korotin1.83711811113WSep 16 · 12:20V. Kondratenko1.6711916123D. Khavanskyi2.1041114101LSep 16 · 10:20Y. Korotin2.201111113V. Kondratenko1.615560LSep 16 · 09:20V. Kondratenko1.737101161S. Hovorunets2.0011126113
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