TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Varchenko vs Sergey Osipov 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113911118114––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Varchenko to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Varchenko above · Sergey Osipov below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 68 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Volodymyr Varchenko at 60.8%
68 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Varchenko 2–0 Sergey Osipov Sergey Osipov has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:06What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Varchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Varchenko 1197 vs Osipov 1217
Osipov
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varchenko 80% vs Osipov 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varchenko 60% vs Osipov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Varchenko +1 · Osipov +4
Osipov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Varchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osipov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarchenko 1.53 / Osipov 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Varchenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13203340
Varchenko1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite46% won 23 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it75% 12 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it67% 20 of 30
Osipov2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 18 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back9% 2 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVarchenko2wins
AwayOsipov0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderVarchenko leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricVarchenkoOsipovV − OBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match46.040.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarchenkoOsipovBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 226 vs 130 / 27346%47.6%104 / 226 vs 130 / 273Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VarchenkoVarchenko 1.53/Osipov 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Varchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Varchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 22 · 14:10V. Varchenko52147119113S. Osipov49121181172
WMar 31 · 14:10V. Varchenko4071111113S. Osipov31117491
V. Varchenko10
WSep 27 · 12:10V. Varchenko2.0011115113P. Ostrovskyi1.73781181LSep 27 · 10:40V. Varchenko2.635560V. Kondratenko1.441111113WSep 22 · 17:10V. Varchenko2.101111113D. Khavanskyi1.677350WSep 22 · 15:10S. Semenets1.508880V. Varchenko2.501111113WSep 22 · 14:10V. Varchenko1.67147119113S. Osipov2.10121181172LSep 22 · 13:10V. Stukalov2.101112113V. Varchenko1.6761090WSep 20 · 16:40V. Varchenko2.20121311113O. Stopin1.611411351LSep 20 · 15:10V. Varchenko2.7511831142V. Kondratenko1.40311118113LSep 20 · 13:40V. Varchenko2.254450Y. Korotin1.57111163WSep 20 · 12:10V. Varchenko1.2511613113V. Mykhalchenko3.758111111
S. Osipov10
WSep 27 · 12:40S. Osipov2.631111133V. Kondratenko1.4486110WSep 27 · 11:40O. Miklukha1.57111051162S. Osipov2.25512116113WSep 22 · 17:40S. Hovorunets1.673720S. Osipov2.101111113WSep 22 · 16:10S. Osipov3.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.366370LSep 22 · 14:10V. Varchenko1.67147119113S. Osipov2.10121181172LSep 22 · 12:10S. Semenets1.4411612113S. Osipov2.638111091LSep 22 · 11:10V. Stukalov1.2211911133S. Osipov4.004119111LSep 3 · 12:05S. Osipov2.258780S. Semenets1.571111113LSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541WSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113
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