TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Miklukha vs Sergey Osipov 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1151012511116611
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeOleh Miklukha to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Miklukha above · Sergey Osipov below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 88 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Oleh Miklukha at 56.5%
88 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Miklukha 18–11 Sergey Osipov Sergey Osipov has won 11 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:16What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Miklukha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-11 in 29
Miklukha
Wrong
gap of 7 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miklukha 1158 vs Osipov 1179
Osipov
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miklukha 20% vs Osipov 40%
Osipov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miklukha 10% vs Osipov 30%
Osipov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miklukha +1 · Osipov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Miklukha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miklukha form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiklukha 1.57 / Osipov 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Miklukha)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13203139
Miklukha1.57
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 24)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite69% won 37 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Osipov2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 22)
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 18 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back9% 2 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiklukha6wins
AwayOsipov4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMiklukha leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiklukha83.3%5 of 6
AwayOsipov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miklukha6Osipov4n = 10Miklukha took 6 of 10
S2Miklukha8Osipov2n = 10Miklukha took 8 of 10
S3Miklukha7Osipov3n = 10Miklukha took 7 of 10
S4Miklukha3Osipov3n = 6split evenly
S5Miklukha1Osipov3n = 4Osipov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiklukhaOsipovM − OBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.636.5+4.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiklukhaOsipovBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 447 vs 130 / 27546.5%47.3%208 / 447 vs 130 / 275Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MiklukhaMiklukha 1.57/Osipov 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Miklukha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Osipov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 08:05O. Miklukha35811971S. Osipov3811511113
WMay 25 · 08:05O. Miklukha579111115113S. Osipov4811761772
LApr 3 · 07:30O. Miklukha4997111572S. Osipov541111813113
WMar 27 · 08:30O. Miklukha4211119113S. Osipov35881181
LMar 20 · 08:30O. Miklukha4512715472S. Osipov5610111311113
WMar 19 · 12:40O. Miklukha331111113S. Osipov259790
WFeb 7 · 08:30O. Miklukha341111123S. Osipov2789100
WJan 3 · 08:00O. Miklukha331111113S. Osipov227960
WDec 2 · 09:30O. Miklukha331111113S. Osipov197570
LNov 28 · 08:00O. Miklukha4591161182S. Osipov41112116113
O. Miklukha10
WSep 24 · 10:30V. Mukhin2.107611111O. Miklukha1.6711117133LSep 24 · 09:30O. Miklukha2.50118111072S. Semenets1.50911712113LSep 24 · 08:30O. Miklukha2.755113121V. Korniichuk1.4011611143LSep 24 · 07:00O. Miklukha2.38591861V. Stukalov1.53111116113LSep 24 · 05:00O. Miklukha2.10511371M. Khalenko1.6711711113LSep 15 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.44111178133O. Miklukha2.63881111112LSep 15 · 15:40O. Miklukha3.25117111162S. Hovorunets1.33811139113LSep 15 · 14:40O. Miklukha1.5715911101D. Khavanskyi2.2517116123LSep 15 · 13:10O. Miklukha2.209670V. Stukalov1.611111113LSep 15 · 11:10O. Miklukha2.104750S. Semenets1.671111113
S. Osipov10
WSep 22 · 17:40S. Hovorunets1.673720S. Osipov2.101111113WSep 22 · 16:10S. Osipov3.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.366370LSep 22 · 14:10V. Varchenko1.67147119113S. Osipov2.10121181172LSep 22 · 12:10S. Semenets1.4411612113S. Osipov2.638111091LSep 22 · 11:10V. Stukalov1.2211911133S. Osipov4.004119111LSep 3 · 12:05S. Osipov2.258780S. Semenets1.571111113LSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541WSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113LSep 3 · 07:05S. Osipov2.7511811842M. Khalenko1.40811811113LSep 3 · 06:05V. Stukalov1.2011911113S. Osipov4.33611561
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