TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Karel Jirousek vs Jan Pina 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1177111171012411
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingKarel Jirousek above · Jan Pina below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 91 set 5, 4-11
91 points played in total.
H2H Karel Jirousek 9–5 Jan Pina Jan Pina has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Jirousek beat Pina 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Jirousek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pina form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJirousek 1.28 / Pina 3.50
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Jirousek)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13196815
Jirousek1.28
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 33 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it71% 25 of 35
Pina3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 15 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back36% 9 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJirousek7wins
AwayPina3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJirousek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJirousek85.7%6 of 7
AwayPina66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jirousek7Pina3n = 10Jirousek took 7 of 10
S2Jirousek9Pina1n = 10Jirousek took 9 of 10
S3Jirousek5Pina5n = 10split evenly
S4Jirousek5Pina3n = 8Jirousek took 5 of 8
S5Jirousek1Pina3n = 4Pina took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJirousekPinaJ − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.235.7+6.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJirousekPinaBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 435 vs 61 / 12351.5%49.6%224 / 435 vs 61 / 123Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JirousekJirousek 1.28/Pina 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.3%
Jirousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 19:30K. Jirousek351113113J. Pina1941140
WSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek4111127113J. Pina295101131
WSep 6 · 17:30K. Jirousek4611168113J. Pina355141151
WAug 27 · 18:30K. Jirousek4111811113J. Pina37911981
LFeb 28 · 09:34K. Jirousek4611119782J. Pina45481111113
WFeb 28 · 07:00K. Jirousek4715129113J. Pina3913101151
WFeb 15 · 09:28K. Jirousek49911117113J. Pina3911441192
LFeb 15 · 07:30K. Jirousek3621171152J. Pina45118114113
WSep 27 · 19:00K. Jirousek331111113J. Pina205780
LSep 7 · 08:55K. Jirousek48911116112J. Pina49118611133
K. Jirousek10
WSep 25 · 19:30J. Pina2.5041140K. Jirousek1.501113113WSep 25 · 19:00K. Jirousek1.7311513113J. Seeman2.008111191LSep 25 · 18:00K. Jirousek1.80781141J. Hanacek1.9111117113WSep 17 · 08:28M. Vorel2.251011117152K. Jirousek1.57124611173WSep 17 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.7313811113M. Vorel2.001111781WSep 17 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8361111143J. Hanacek1.831188121WSep 17 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.6731112113A. Dvoracek2.101171081WSep 12 · 09:00A. Dvoracek1.57116781K. Jirousek2.2591111113WSep 12 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.6711116133K. Farsky2.109511111WSep 12 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8371111143M. Vorel1.831168121
J. Pina10
LSep 25 · 19:30J. Pina2.5041140K. Jirousek1.501113113WSep 25 · 18:30J. Pina1.61101111103J. Hanacek2.20124791WSep 25 · 17:30J. Pina1.4011113123J. Seeman2.756911101WSep 10 · 20:58J. Pina1.61511117113T. Stejskal2.2011751162WSep 10 · 20:00T. Stejskal1.57561141J. Pina2.2511118113LSep 10 · 19:00M. Drabek1.9112911113J. Pina1.801011681LSep 10 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer2.0091111113J. Pina1.73116881LSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131WSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122WSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121
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