TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Karel Jirousek vs Jan Seeman 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1185111311119––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeKarel Jirousek to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Jirousek above · Jan Seeman below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Karel Jirousek at 56.5%
79 points played in total.
H2H Karel Jirousek 8–10 Jan Seeman Karel Jirousek has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:24What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jirousek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-10 in 18
Seeman
Wrong
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jirousek 1480 vs Seeman 1354
Jirousek
Correct
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jirousek 80% vs Seeman 20%
Jirousek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jirousek 80% vs Seeman 40%
Jirousek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jirousek -1 · Seeman -3
Seeman
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jirousek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seeman form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJirousek 1.73 / Seeman 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Jirousek)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13191215
Jirousek1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 33 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it71% 25 of 35
Seeman2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 36 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back30% 15 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJirousek5wins
AwaySeeman5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJirousek60%3 of 5
AwaySeeman60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jirousek5Seeman5n = 10split evenly
S2Jirousek4Seeman6n = 10Seeman took 6 of 10
S3Jirousek8Seeman1n = 9Jirousek took 8 of 9
S4Jirousek4Seeman4n = 8split evenly
S5Jirousek1Seeman3n = 4Seeman took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJirousekSeemanJ − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.839.4+0.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJirousekSeemanBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 433 vs 129 / 27651.3%46.7%222 / 433 vs 129 / 276Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JirousekJirousek 1.73/Seeman 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Jirousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jirousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 9 · 07:00K. Jirousek419121191J. Seeman4011144113
LAug 2 · 11:00K. Jirousek4111511592J. Seeman48711811113
WSep 28 · 08:28K. Jirousek45311119113J. Seeman4611881182
LSep 28 · 06:00K. Jirousek4476121182J. Seeman501111107113
LAug 29 · 09:00K. Jirousek33491191J. Seeman3911116113
WAug 22 · 18:00K. Jirousek4071111113J. Seeman29115491
WAug 10 · 06:30K. Jirousek3911314113J. Seeman325111241
WJul 20 · 05:30K. Jirousek341111123J. Seeman2569100
LJul 15 · 10:30K. Jirousek41114311122J. Seeman46811112143
K. Jirousek10
WSep 25 · 19:30J. Pina2.5041140K. Jirousek1.501113113LSep 25 · 18:00K. Jirousek1.80781141J. Hanacek1.9111117113WSep 17 · 08:28M. Vorel2.251011117152K. Jirousek1.57124611173WSep 17 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.7313811113M. Vorel2.001111781WSep 17 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8361111143J. Hanacek1.831188121WSep 17 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.6731112113A. Dvoracek2.101171081WSep 12 · 09:00A. Dvoracek1.57116781K. Jirousek2.2591111113WSep 12 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.6711116133K. Farsky2.109511111WSep 12 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8371111143M. Vorel1.831168121LSep 12 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.7311119662A. Dvoracek2.00841111113
J. Seeman10
LSep 25 · 17:30J. Pina1.4011113123J. Seeman2.756911101LSep 19 · 16:39M. Melisek1.401111103J. Seeman2.758860LSep 19 · 15:30J. Seeman2.105111471J. Hanacek1.6711816113WSep 19 · 14:30J. Seeman3.2511118113M. Melisek1.33291171LSep 19 · 13:30J. Seeman1.73811611L. Krutina2.001191143WSep 17 · 12:29P. Moulis1.731161111112J. Seeman2.00311138133LSep 17 · 11:30J. Seeman1.731311101562J. Jnr2.0011131213113LSep 17 · 10:30J. Seeman1.5711791132L. Krutina2.25811119113WSep 17 · 09:30J. Seeman2.1041115113P. Moulis1.671191351WSep 13 · 16:59J. Seeman1.44101111123L. Krutina2.631288101
Upcoming Matches
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J. Seeman
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