TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Pavel Vinansky vs Daniel Branny 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Pavel Vinansky
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412411119118––
Daniel Branny
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPavel Vinansky above · Daniel Branny below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 80 set 4, 11-8
80 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Vinansky 1–1 Daniel Branny Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vinansky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vinansky form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVinansky 1.80 / Branny 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vinansky)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13173166
Vinansky1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite77% won 34 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Branny1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 22 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVinansky1wins
AwayBranny1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricVinanskyBrannyV − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match28.031.0−3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVinanskyBrannyBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 115 vs 180 / 34659.1%52%68 / 115 vs 180 / 346Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinanskyVinansky 1.80/Branny 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vinansky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vinansky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 21 · 20:15P. Vinansky371113133D. Branny29711110
LAug 17 · 10:45P. Vinansky199910D. Branny331111113
P. Vinansky10
WSep 21 · 20:15P. Vinansky2.001113133D. Branny1.73711110LSep 21 · 18:45E. Precek2.0011411113P. Vinansky1.73811331LSep 21 · 18:15A. Kanak2.001191011113P. Vinansky1.7391112472WAug 27 · 08:43P. Vinansky1.80111157113D. Jr1.9143111192WAug 27 · 07:45D. Jr1.80514751P. Vinansky1.91111211113LAug 27 · 07:15A. Kanak2.00129311113P. Vinansky1.73101111662LAug 27 · 06:15P. Vinansky1.731311811112J. Przybyla2.001181113133LAug 25 · 09:10L. Kantor2.10111110173P. Vinansky1.676712151LAug 25 · 07:45P. Vinansky1.5061141232L. Kantor2.501161110113WAug 25 · 06:45P. Vinansky1.401111113O. Kus2.756750
D. Branny10
LSep 21 · 20:15P. Vinansky2.001113133D. Branny1.73711110WSep 21 · 19:15D. Branny2.501111113A. Kanak1.507960LSep 21 · 17:45E. Precek2.00111111113D. Branny1.73513341WSep 18 · 21:08T. Molin1.441181291D. Branny2.6371114113LSep 18 · 19:45D. Branny2.256670T. Molin1.571111113WSep 18 · 18:45D. Branny1.6741111113J. Przybyla2.10117271WSep 18 · 17:45D. Branny1.731311123V. Reska2.00118100WSep 17 · 21:20D. Branny1.8391111113V. Reska1.83117861WSep 17 · 19:45D. Branny1.831111113J. Przybyla1.836340LSep 17 · 18:45D. Branny1.73111261072D. Osvald2.007101112113
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