TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Pavel Vinansky vs Daniel Branny 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Pavel Vinansky
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11713111311––––
Daniel Branny
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Vinansky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Vinansky above · Daniel Branny below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 66 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Pavel Vinansky at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Vinansky 1–1 Daniel Branny Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:55What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Branny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vinansky 1572 vs Branny 1529
Vinansky
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vinansky 40% vs Branny 60%
Branny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vinansky 40% vs Branny 70%
Branny
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vinansky -2 · Branny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Branny) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVinansky 2.00 / Branny 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Branny)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13169095
Vinansky2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog58% won 14 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back36% 4 of 11
Branny1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 60 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it78% 38 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVinansky1wins
AwayBranny1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricVinanskyBrannyV − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match28.031.0−3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVinanskyBrannyBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 115 vs 180 / 34659.1%52%68 / 115 vs 180 / 346Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrannyVinansky 2.00/Branny 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Branny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vinansky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 21 · 20:15P. Vinansky371113133D. Branny29711110
LAug 17 · 10:45P. Vinansky199910D. Branny331111113
P. Vinansky10
WSep 21 · 20:43P. Vinansky1.8014411113D. Branny1.911211981LSep 21 · 18:45E. Precek2.0011411113P. Vinansky1.73811331LSep 21 · 18:15A. Kanak2.001191011113P. Vinansky1.7391112472WAug 27 · 08:43P. Vinansky1.80111157113D. Jr1.9143111192WAug 27 · 07:45D. Jr1.80514751P. Vinansky1.91111211113LAug 27 · 07:15A. Kanak2.00129311113P. Vinansky1.73101111662LAug 27 · 06:15P. Vinansky1.731311811112J. Przybyla2.001181113133LAug 25 · 09:10L. Kantor2.10111110173P. Vinansky1.676712151LAug 25 · 07:45P. Vinansky1.5061141232L. Kantor2.501161110113WAug 25 · 06:45P. Vinansky1.401111113O. Kus2.756750
D. Branny10
LSep 21 · 20:43P. Vinansky1.8014411113D. Branny1.911211981WSep 21 · 19:15D. Branny2.501111113A. Kanak1.507960LSep 21 · 17:45E. Precek2.00111111113D. Branny1.73513341WSep 18 · 21:08T. Molin1.441181291D. Branny2.6371114113LSep 18 · 19:45D. Branny2.256670T. Molin1.571111113WSep 18 · 18:45D. Branny1.6741111113J. Przybyla2.10117271WSep 18 · 17:45D. Branny1.731311123V. Reska2.00118100WSep 17 · 21:20D. Branny1.8391111113V. Reska1.83117861WSep 17 · 19:45D. Branny1.831111113J. Przybyla1.836340LSep 17 · 18:45D. Branny1.73111261072D. Osvald2.007101112113
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