Petr Zmuda vs Daniel Kouble 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga Pro

Played Sep 20Finished

Petr Zmuda

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1412119114––––

Daniel Kouble

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%

Graded at full time

Petr Zmuda to win

55.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingPetr Zmuda above · Daniel Kouble below

Set 1 · 14-12

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 11-4

Point 61 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Petr Zmuda at 55.5%

61 points played in total.

The pickConfirm

Sealed 22:06

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Kouble

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Zmuda 1588 vs Kouble 1507

Zmuda

Correct

both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Zmuda 60% vs Kouble 40%

Zmuda

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Zmuda 80% vs Kouble 40%

Zmuda

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Zmuda +1 · Kouble +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zmuda) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kouble form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZmuda 1.83 / Kouble 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Zmuda)+4.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13166815

Zmuda1.83

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Kouble1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricZmudaKoubleBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 243 vs 105 / 21952.3%48%127 / 243 vs 105 / 219Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Zmuda

Zmuda 1.83/Kouble 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Zmuda · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Zmuda won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

P. Zmuda10