TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13141580
Played Sep 17Finished
Matej Volf
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12106111012711––
Petr Zmuda
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:22 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeMatej Volf to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMatej Volf above · Petr Zmuda below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 79 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Matej Volf at 58.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Matej Volf 3–0 Petr Zmuda Petr Zmuda has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:22What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Volf
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Volf
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volf 1580 vs Zmuda 1606
Zmuda
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volf 60% vs Zmuda 80%
Zmuda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volf 50% vs Zmuda 90%
Zmuda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volf +2 · Zmuda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volf) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zmuda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolf 1.67 / Zmuda 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Volf)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13141580
Volf1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 39 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it80% 31 of 39
Zmuda2.10
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 16 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVolf3wins
AwayZmuda0wins
Volf leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolf100%3 of 3
AwayZmudan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volf3Zmuda0n = 3Volf took 3 of 3
S2Volf3Zmuda0n = 3Volf took 3 of 3
S3Volf2Zmuda1n = 3Volf took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricVolfZmudaV − ZBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match36.023.0+13.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolfZmudaBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 404 vs 136 / 25251.7%54%209 / 404 vs 136 / 252Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolfVolf 1.67/Zmuda 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Volf · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zmuda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 10 · 23:00M. Volf361111143P. Zmuda1934120
WOct 31 · 07:30M. Volf331111113P. Zmuda217860
WAug 10 · 15:30M. Volf3911116113P. Zmuda29861141
M. Volf10
WSep 17 · 07:00M. Volf2.1071111113J. Stolfa1.67118771WSep 17 · 06:00D. Tuma1.83761551M. Volf1.83111113113LSep 15 · 03:05M. Volf1.61714891A. Hlawatschke2.20111211113WSep 15 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke2.2012137101M. Volf1.61141111123LSep 15 · 24:30M. Volf2.00811119102D. Tuma1.73117611123WSep 14 · 23:00M. Volf1.911111113R. Krejci1.808950LSep 14 · 22:00P. Pycha1.671112113M. Volf2.1071060LSep 11 · 01:30M. Volf2.63134120M. Sobisek1.441511143WSep 11 · 24:30V. Cermak2.001081112112M. Volf1.731211910133LSep 10 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.2581212113M. Volf1.5711101081
P. Zmuda10
LSep 17 · 07:30P. Zmuda1.83913111092D. Tuma1.831111812113WSep 17 · 06:30J. Stolfa1.8311711652P. Zmuda1.83611811113WSep 15 · 13:30P. Zmuda1.7311412123M. Vesely2.0061110101WSep 15 · 12:30K. Darin3.0010760P. Zmuda1.361211113WSep 15 · 11:30P. Zmuda1.5311127123J. Bresky2.3881011101WSep 15 · 10:30M. Vesely1.8312131241P. Zmuda1.83141510113WSep 15 · 09:30P. Zmuda1.43101211113T. Varnuska2.601210741WSep 15 · 08:30P. Zmuda1.5781111113J. Prokupek2.25117891WSep 15 · 07:00P. Zmuda1.91115119113M. Vesely1.8091131172WSep 15 · 06:00T. Varnuska2.3871050P. Zmuda1.531112113
Upcoming Matches
M. Volf
Nothing scheduled
P. Zmuda
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