TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13141548
Played Sep 17Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7116111513511––
Matej Volf
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Matej Volf below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 79 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 27–17 Matej Volf Matej Volf has won 17 of their 44 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 17:11What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Volf
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-17 in 44
Tuma
Wrong
gap of 10 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1618 vs Volf 1554
Tuma
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 60% vs Volf 40%
Tuma
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 70% vs Volf 40%
Tuma
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma -1 · Volf -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tuma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volf form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 1.83 / Volf 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tuma)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13141548
Tuma1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Volf1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma5wins
AwayVolf5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma66.7%4 of 6
AwayVolf75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma6Volf4n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S2Tuma3Volf7n = 10Volf took 7 of 10
S3Tuma6Volf4n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S4Tuma6Volf4n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S5Tuma2Volf3n = 5Volf took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaVolfT − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.643.9−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaVolfBasisWin rate · lifetime768 / 1469 vs 207 / 40252.3%51.5%768 / 1469 vs 207 / 402Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaTuma 1.83/Volf 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Volf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 24:30D. Tuma47117611123M. Volf49811119102
LJul 23 · 12:00D. Tuma4039111252M. Volf521111910113
WJul 23 · 08:59D. Tuma50127119113M. Volf43101171142
LJul 23 · 08:00D. Tuma381111881M. Volf4381311113
WJul 22 · 02:00D. Tuma47111411113M. Volf381312851
WJul 21 · 18:00D. Tuma4011711113M. Volf33911851
LJul 8 · 16:00D. Tuma43113101182M. Volf48511129113
WJun 21 · 21:28D. Tuma4212117123M. Volf3810711101
LJun 21 · 20:00D. Tuma5210111110102M. Volf50126812123
LApr 26 · 02:30D. Tuma376813101M. Volf45111111123
D. Tuma10
LSep 15 · 03:30P. Pycha1.601111123D. Tuma2.2055100WSep 15 · 01:30D. Tuma1.671111113R. Krejci2.106860WSep 15 · 24:30M. Volf2.00811119102D. Tuma1.73117611123WSep 14 · 23:30P. Pycha1.5761171192D. Tuma2.25119117113LSep 14 · 22:30D. Tuma2.2010116131A. Hlawatschke1.6112411153WSep 14 · 13:30D. Tuma1.431111113F. Just2.607450WSep 14 · 12:00D. Tuma2.10411119123V. Cermak1.67118911102LSep 14 · 11:30M. Vesely2.10711148113D. Tuma1.67116121182WSep 14 · 10:00D. Tuma1.44121114113F. Just2.631481271WSep 13 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.808111181D. Tuma1.9111613113
M. Volf10
LSep 15 · 03:05M. Volf1.61714891A. Hlawatschke2.20111211113WSep 15 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke2.2012137101M. Volf1.61141111123LSep 15 · 24:30M. Volf2.00811119102D. Tuma1.73117611123WSep 14 · 23:00M. Volf1.911111113R. Krejci1.808950LSep 14 · 22:00P. Pycha1.671112113M. Volf2.1071060LSep 11 · 01:30M. Volf2.63134120M. Sobisek1.441511143WSep 11 · 24:30V. Cermak2.001081112112M. Volf1.731211910133LSep 10 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.2581212113M. Volf1.5711101081LSep 10 · 22:30M. Volf1.91111110862M. Vizek1.80841211113WSep 10 · 20:58M. Volf2.3811911113J. Stolfa1.53511581
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