TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13132948
Played Sep 15Finished
Matej Volf
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111412811911––
Ales Hlawatschke
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMatej Volf above · Ales Hlawatschke below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 83 set 4, 9-11
83 points played in total.
H2H Matej Volf 4–0 Ales Hlawatschke Ales Hlawatschke has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Volf beat Hlawatschke 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Volf)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volf form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolf 1.61 / Hlawatschke 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Volf)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13132948
Volf1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 38 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it79% 30 of 38
Hlawatschke2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 10 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back21% 3 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVolf4wins
AwayHlawatschke0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderVolf leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volf2Hlawatschke2n = 4split evenly
S2Volf3Hlawatschke1n = 4Volf took 3 of 4
S3Volf3Hlawatschke1n = 4Volf took 3 of 4
S4Volf3Hlawatschke1n = 4Volf took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home375%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricVolfHlawatschkeV − HBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match45.036.2+8.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolfHlawatschkeBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 401 vs 110 / 22251.6%49.6%207 / 401 vs 110 / 222Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolfVolf 1.61/Hlawatschke 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Volf · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hlawatschke won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 15 · 02:00M. Volf48141111123A. Hlawatschke4212137101
WAug 11 · 24:00M. Volf4491311113A. Hlawatschke311111541
WJan 29 · 01:00M. Volf4312119113A. Hlawatschke341051181
WJan 7 · 24:30M. Volf45511117113A. Hlawatschke3811731162
M. Volf10
WSep 15 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke2.2012137101M. Volf1.61141111123LSep 15 · 24:30M. Volf2.00811119102D. Tuma1.73117611123WSep 14 · 23:00M. Volf1.911111113R. Krejci1.808950LSep 14 · 22:00P. Pycha1.671112113M. Volf2.1071060LSep 11 · 01:30M. Volf2.63134120M. Sobisek1.441511143WSep 11 · 24:30V. Cermak2.001081112112M. Volf1.731211910133LSep 10 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.2581212113M. Volf1.5711101081LSep 10 · 22:30M. Volf1.91111110862M. Vizek1.80841211113WSep 10 · 20:58M. Volf2.3811911113J. Stolfa1.53511581LSep 10 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.7391111113M. Volf2.00117751
A. Hlawatschke10
LSep 15 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke2.2012137101M. Volf1.61141111123LSep 15 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.83121070P. Pycha1.831412113WSep 15 · 24:00R. Krejci3.00113115112A. Hlawatschke1.36711711133WSep 14 · 22:30D. Tuma2.2010116131A. Hlawatschke1.6112411153LSep 10 · 02:58A. Hlawatschke1.7376110M. Vedmoch2.001111133WSep 10 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke1.8311611113D. Kouble1.83811481WSep 10 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.734111310113M. Vedmoch2.00119111292LSep 10 · 24:00J. Hradecky1.67116811113A. Hlawatschke2.1091111962LSep 9 · 22:30V. Cermak3.5012411113A. Hlawatschke1.281011561WSep 9 · 03:00D. Tuma2.105960A. Hlawatschke1.671111113
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