TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129696
Played Sep 15Finished
Petr Zmuda
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11812107111210––
Jaroslav Bresky
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:21 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timePetr Zmuda to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Zmuda above · Jaroslav Bresky below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 81 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Petr Zmuda at 60.8%
81 points played in total.
H2H Petr Zmuda 1–0 Jaroslav Bresky Jaroslav Bresky has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:21What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Zmuda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zmuda 1573 vs Bresky 1469
Zmuda
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zmuda 100% vs Bresky 40%
Zmuda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zmuda 60% vs Bresky 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zmuda +5 · Bresky -2
Zmuda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zmuda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zmuda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZmuda 1.53 / Bresky 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Zmuda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129696
Zmuda1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 47 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it82% 31 of 38
Bresky2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 7 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZmuda1wins
AwayBresky0wins
Zmuda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZmudaBreskyZ − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.027.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZmudaBreskyBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 247 vs 91 / 17353.4%52.6%132 / 247 vs 91 / 173Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmudaZmuda 1.53/Bresky 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Zmuda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zmuda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 25 · 11:00P. Zmuda351111133J. Bresky2779110
P. Zmuda10
WSep 15 · 12:30K. Darin3.0010760P. Zmuda1.361211113WSep 15 · 10:30M. Vesely1.8312131241P. Zmuda1.83141510113WSep 15 · 09:30P. Zmuda1.43101211113T. Varnuska2.601210741WSep 15 · 08:30P. Zmuda1.5781111113J. Prokupek2.25117891WSep 15 · 07:00P. Zmuda1.91115119113M. Vesely1.8091131172WSep 15 · 06:00T. Varnuska2.3871050P. Zmuda1.531112113LSep 14 · 09:00P. Zmuda1.73911681M. Vesely2.0011611113LSep 14 · 08:30P. Zmuda2.00411441V. Cermak1.7311811113WSep 14 · 07:00P. Zmuda1.67591111113M. Vesely2.1011114992LSep 14 · 06:00J. Stolfa1.83711116123P. Zmuda1.83119911102
J. Bresky10
WSep 15 · 12:00J. Bresky2.20111155113M. Vesely1.6119111182LAug 4 · 13:30J. Plachy1.80111111113J. Bresky1.90137471WAug 4 · 12:30J. Bresky1.331112113Y. Holovatiuk3.2581060LAug 4 · 11:00J. Bresky1.919970J. Plachy1.801111113WAug 4 · 10:00K. Darin2.50117881J. Bresky1.5091111113WAug 4 · 08:58J. Bresky1.36111112113Y. Holovatiuk3.00591491WAug 4 · 08:30J. Bresky1.3611118113Y. Holovatiuk3.00391131LAug 4 · 07:00J. Bresky1.911110881J. Plachy1.8081211113LAug 4 · 06:00R. Pavelka1.8311119113J. Bresky1.83571171WJul 9 · 13:30J. Stolfa1.801670J. Bresky1.911111113
Upcoming Matches
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J. Bresky
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