TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12355734
Played Aug 4Finished
Jaroslav Bresky
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911711––––
Jiri Plachy
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:17 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeJiri Plachy to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Bresky above · Jiri Plachy below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 58 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jiri Plachy at 55.5%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Bresky 5–16 Jiri Plachy Jaroslav Bresky has won 5 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:17What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Plachy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-16 in 21
Plachy
Correct
gap of 11 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bresky 1506 vs Plachy 1560
Plachy
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bresky 60% vs Plachy 80%
Plachy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bresky 60% vs Plachy 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bresky +3 · Plachy +1
Bresky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Plachy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plachy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBresky 1.91 / Plachy 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Plachy)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12355734
Bresky1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 10 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back23% 3 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Plachy1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 129 of 252
Up 2–0, closes it96% 63 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it81% 95 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBresky3wins
AwayPlachy7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlachy leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBresky40%2 of 5
AwayPlachy80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bresky5Plachy5n = 10split evenly
S2Bresky2Plachy8n = 10Plachy took 8 of 10
S3Bresky4Plachy6n = 10Plachy took 6 of 10
S4Bresky3Plachy6n = 9Plachy took 6 of 9
S5Bresky2Plachy1n = 3Bresky took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBreskyPlachyB − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.140.5−4.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBreskyPlachyBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 181 vs 736 / 158451.9%46.5%94 / 181 vs 736 / 1584Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyBresky 1.91/Plachy 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 4 · 07:00J. Bresky—1110881J. Plachy—81211113
WJun 26 · 09:00J. Bresky—118611123J. Plachy—711116102
LJun 26 · 06:30J. Bresky—101213382J. Plachy—12101111113
LMay 20 · 06:30J. Bresky—5680J. Plachy—1111113
LApr 15 · 21:30J. Bresky—118691J. Plachy—71111113
LApr 15 · 19:00J. Bresky—116741J. Plachy—41111113
WApr 15 · 17:29J. Bresky—119812113J. Plachy—911111072
LApr 15 · 16:00J. Bresky—671161J. Plachy—11116113
WMar 9 · 11:30J. Bresky—91111113J. Plachy—118361
LMar 9 · 09:58J. Bresky—741141J. Plachy—11115113
J. Bresky10
LAug 4 · 13:30J. Plachy1.80111111113J. Bresky1.90137471WAug 4 · 12:30J. Bresky1.331112113Y. Holovatiuk3.2581060WAug 4 · 10:00K. Darin2.50117881J. Bresky1.5091111113WAug 4 · 08:58J. Bresky1.36111112113Y. Holovatiuk3.00591491WAug 4 · 08:30J. Bresky1.3611118113Y. Holovatiuk3.00391131LAug 4 · 07:00J. Bresky1.911110881J. Plachy1.8081211113LAug 4 · 06:00R. Pavelka1.8311119113J. Bresky1.83571171WJul 9 · 13:30J. Stolfa1.801670J. Bresky1.911111113WJul 9 · 12:00J. Bresky2.25511114153J. Stolfa1.57119911132WJul 9 · 11:30M. Kolar1.83111181082J. Bresky1.83981112113
J. Plachy10
WSep 7 · 10:30J. Trefny1.67571151J. Plachy2.1011119113LSep 7 · 09:00J. Trefny1.73117912143J. Plachy2.008111110122LSep 7 · 08:00J. Svoboda1.361112113J. Plachy3.0051090WSep 7 · 07:00J. Trefny1.73911951J. Plachy2.0011511113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750LSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113WAug 4 · 13:30J. Plachy1.80111111113J. Bresky1.90137471WAug 4 · 07:00J. Bresky1.911110881J. Plachy1.8081211113
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