TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12355713
Played Aug 4Finished
Radim Pavelka
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115117911117––
Jaroslav Bresky
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:17 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeRadim Pavelka to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingRadim Pavelka above · Jaroslav Bresky below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Radim Pavelka at 57.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Radim Pavelka 2–1 Jaroslav Bresky Jaroslav Bresky has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:17What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Bresky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pavelka 1577 vs Bresky 1475
Pavelka
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pavelka 60% vs Bresky 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pavelka 40% vs Bresky 60%
Bresky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pavelka -1 · Bresky +3
Bresky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Pavelka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPavelka 1.83 / Bresky 1.83
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Pavelka)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12355713
Pavelka1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Bresky1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePavelka2wins
AwayBresky1wins
Pavelka leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pavelka1Bresky2n = 3Bresky took 2 of 3
S2Pavelka2Bresky1n = 3Pavelka took 2 of 3
S3Pavelka2Bresky1n = 3Pavelka took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricPavelkaBreskyP − BBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match32.726.0+6.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPavelkaBreskyBasisWin rate · lifetime449 / 890 vs 91 / 17650.5%51.7%449 / 890 vs 91 / 176Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PavelkaPavelka 1.83/Bresky 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Pavelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pavelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMar 9 · 08:00R. Pavelka—1111113J. Bresky—5850
LDec 2 · 15:30R. Pavelka—9880J. Bresky—1111113
WOct 18 · 08:30R. Pavelka—81111103J. Bresky—113491
R. Pavelka10
WSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Pavelka1.611015561J. Trefny2.20121311113LSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781WSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 5 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.361111113R. Pavelka3.008550LSep 5 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.2581111113R. Pavelka3.75117471WSep 5 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.251161111113T. Holik1.5751113792WSep 5 · 06:30M. Sedlak1.806780R. Pavelka1.911111113LSep 4 · 17:30F. Just1.301311113R. Pavelka3.4011930WSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191
J. Bresky10
LAug 4 · 13:30J. Plachy1.80111111113J. Bresky1.90137471WAug 4 · 12:30J. Bresky1.331112113Y. Holovatiuk3.2581060LAug 4 · 11:00J. Bresky1.919970J. Plachy1.801111113WAug 4 · 10:00K. Darin2.50117881J. Bresky1.5091111113WAug 4 · 08:58J. Bresky1.36111112113Y. Holovatiuk3.00591491WAug 4 · 08:30J. Bresky1.3611118113Y. Holovatiuk3.00391131LAug 4 · 07:00J. Bresky1.911110881J. Plachy1.8081211113WJul 9 · 13:30J. Stolfa1.801670J. Bresky1.911111113WJul 9 · 12:00J. Bresky2.25511114153J. Stolfa1.57119911132WJul 9 · 11:30M. Kolar1.83111181082J. Bresky1.83981112113
Upcoming Matches
R. Pavelka1 of 4 neutral
J. Bresky
Nothing scheduled
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