TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12355114
Played Aug 4Finished
Jaroslav Bresky
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210116––––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:36 and never touched — 69.7% is still 69.7%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Bresky to win
69.7%
69.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Bresky above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 58 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Jaroslav Bresky at 69.7%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Bresky 4–0 Yurii Holovatiuk Yurii Holovatiuk has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Bresky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Bresky
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bresky 1488 vs Holovatiuk 1452
Bresky
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bresky 60% vs Holovatiuk 20%
Bresky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bresky 60% vs Holovatiuk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bresky -1 · Holovatiuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Bresky) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBresky 1.33 / Holovatiuk 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Bresky)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12355114
Bresky1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 15 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it71% 10 of 14
Holovatiuk3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 43 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back21% 14 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBresky4wins
AwayHolovatiuk0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderBresky leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBresky100%4 of 4
AwayHolovatiukn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bresky4Holovatiuk0n = 4Bresky took 4 of 4
S2Bresky3Holovatiuk1n = 4Bresky took 3 of 4
S3Bresky2Holovatiuk2n = 4split evenly
S4Bresky2Holovatiuk1n = 3Bresky took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBreskyHolovatiukB − HBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match43.533.8+9.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBreskyHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 182 vs 268 / 56151.7%47.8%94 / 182 vs 268 / 561Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BreskyBresky 1.33/Holovatiuk 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.9%
Bresky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bresky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 4 · 08:58J. Bresky—111112113Y. Holovatiuk—591491
WAug 4 · 08:30J. Bresky—11118113Y. Holovatiuk—391131
WOct 21 · 21:00J. Bresky—127118113Y. Holovatiuk—101171192
WOct 21 · 20:00J. Bresky—1117113Y. Holovatiuk—71520
J. Bresky10
LAug 4 · 13:30J. Plachy1.80111111113J. Bresky1.90137471LAug 4 · 11:00J. Bresky1.919970J. Plachy1.801111113WAug 4 · 10:00K. Darin2.50117881J. Bresky1.5091111113WAug 4 · 08:58J. Bresky1.36111112113Y. Holovatiuk3.00591491WAug 4 · 08:30J. Bresky1.3611118113Y. Holovatiuk3.00391131LAug 4 · 07:00J. Bresky1.911110881J. Plachy1.8081211113LAug 4 · 06:00R. Pavelka1.8311119113J. Bresky1.83571171WJul 9 · 13:30J. Stolfa1.801670J. Bresky1.911111113WJul 9 · 12:00J. Bresky2.25511114153J. Stolfa1.57119911132WJul 9 · 11:30M. Kolar1.83111181082J. Bresky1.83981112113
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LAug 4 · 08:58J. Bresky1.36111112113Y. Holovatiuk3.00591491LAug 4 · 08:30J. Bresky1.3611118113Y. Holovatiuk3.00391131
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