TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12360637
Played Aug 4Finished
Jiri Plachy
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113117114117––
Jaroslav Bresky
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:56 and never touched — 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timeJiri Plachy to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Jaroslav Bresky below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Jiri Plachy at 61.4%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 17–5 Jaroslav Bresky Jaroslav Bresky has won 5 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:56What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Plachy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-5 in 22
Plachy
Correct
gap of 12 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachy 1598 vs Bresky 1500
Plachy
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachy 80% vs Bresky 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachy 70% vs Bresky 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachy +3 · Bresky +1
Plachy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Plachy) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bresky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 1.80 / Bresky 1.90
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Plachy)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12360637
Plachy1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 129 of 252
Up 2–0, closes it96% 63 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it81% 95 of 118
Bresky1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 10 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back23% 3 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlachy7wins
AwayBresky3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlachy leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachy80%4 of 5
AwayBresky40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachy5Bresky5n = 10split evenly
S2Plachy8Bresky2n = 10Plachy took 8 of 10
S3Plachy7Bresky3n = 10Plachy took 7 of 10
S4Plachy5Bresky3n = 8Plachy took 5 of 8
S5Plachy1Bresky2n = 3Bresky took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlachyBreskyP − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.036.0+4.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyBreskyBasisWin rate · lifetime738 / 1586 vs 95 / 18346.5%51.9%738 / 1586 vs 95 / 183Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyPlachy 1.80/Bresky 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.4%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 11:00J. Plachy—1111113J. Bresky—9970
WAug 4 · 07:00J. Plachy—81211113J. Bresky—1110881
LJun 26 · 09:00J. Plachy—711116102J. Bresky—118611123
WJun 26 · 06:30J. Plachy—12101111113J. Bresky—101213382
WMay 20 · 06:30J. Plachy—1111113J. Bresky—5680
WApr 15 · 21:30J. Plachy—71111113J. Bresky—118691
WApr 15 · 19:00J. Plachy—41111113J. Bresky—116741
LApr 15 · 17:29J. Plachy—911111072J. Bresky—119812113
WApr 15 · 16:00J. Plachy—11116113J. Bresky—671161
LMar 9 · 11:30J. Plachy—118361J. Bresky—91111113
J. Plachy10
WSep 7 · 10:30J. Trefny1.67571151J. Plachy2.1011119113LSep 7 · 09:00J. Trefny1.73117912143J. Plachy2.008111110122LSep 7 · 08:00J. Svoboda1.361112113J. Plachy3.0051090WSep 7 · 07:00J. Trefny1.73911951J. Plachy2.0011511113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750LSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193LSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780
J. Bresky10
WAug 4 · 12:30J. Bresky1.331112113Y. Holovatiuk3.2581060LAug 4 · 11:00J. Bresky1.919970J. Plachy1.801111113WAug 4 · 10:00K. Darin2.50117881J. Bresky1.5091111113WAug 4 · 08:58J. Bresky1.36111112113Y. Holovatiuk3.00591491WAug 4 · 08:30J. Bresky1.3611118113Y. Holovatiuk3.00391131LAug 4 · 07:00J. Bresky1.911110881J. Plachy1.8081211113LAug 4 · 06:00R. Pavelka1.8311119113J. Bresky1.83571171WJul 9 · 13:30J. Stolfa1.801670J. Bresky1.911111113WJul 9 · 12:00J. Bresky2.25511114153J. Stolfa1.57119911132WJul 9 · 11:30M. Kolar1.83111181082J. Bresky1.83981112113
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