TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12187984
Played Jul 9Finished
Jaroslav Bresky
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111191194111513
Jakub Stolfa
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingJaroslav Bresky above · Jakub Stolfa below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 15-13
Point 99 set 5, 15-13
99 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Bresky 0–2 Jakub Stolfa Jaroslav Bresky has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Stolfa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stolfa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBresky 2.25 / Stolfa 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Stolfa)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12187984
Bresky2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 6 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Stolfa1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 24 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBresky0wins
AwayStolfa2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderStolfa leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBreskyStolfaB − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match43.046.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBreskyStolfaBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 173 vs 143 / 29250.9%49%88 / 173 vs 143 / 292Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolfaBresky 2.25/Stolfa 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Stolfa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bresky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 9 · 09:00J. Bresky—71112972J. Stolfa—1141011113
LJul 9 · 08:00J. Bresky—11511762J. Stolfa—311911113
J. Bresky10
LAug 4 · 13:30J. Plachy1.80111111113J. Bresky1.90137471WAug 4 · 12:30J. Bresky1.331112113Y. Holovatiuk3.2581060LAug 4 · 11:00J. Bresky1.919970J. Plachy1.801111113WAug 4 · 10:00K. Darin2.50117881J. Bresky1.5091111113WAug 4 · 08:58J. Bresky1.36111112113Y. Holovatiuk3.00591491WAug 4 · 08:30J. Bresky1.3611118113Y. Holovatiuk3.00391131LAug 4 · 07:00J. Bresky1.911110881J. Plachy1.8081211113LAug 4 · 06:00R. Pavelka1.8311119113J. Bresky1.83571171WJul 9 · 13:30J. Stolfa1.801670J. Bresky1.911111113WJul 9 · 11:30M. Kolar1.83111181082J. Bresky1.83981112113
J. Stolfa10
LSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113WSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113LSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113WSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881LSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192LSep 4 · 14:00J. Stolfa3.4061111782M. Pikous1.30117911113WSep 4 · 08:58D. Hofman1.4012115992J. Stolfa2.751091111113LJul 9 · 13:30J. Stolfa1.801670J. Bresky1.911111113
Upcoming Matches
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J. Stolfa
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