TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Daniel Kouble
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611114811115113
Vladimir Postelt
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:54 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeDaniel Kouble to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Kouble above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 81 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Daniel Kouble at 57.4%
81 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Kouble 10–2 Vladimir Postelt Vladimir Postelt has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:54What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kouble
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-2 in 12
Kouble
Correct
gap of 8 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kouble 1496 vs Postelt 1525
Postelt
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kouble 40% vs Postelt 80%
Postelt
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kouble 40% vs Postelt 70%
Postelt
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kouble -2 · Postelt +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kouble) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKouble 1.50 / Postelt 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Postelt)-0.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164782
Kouble1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 16 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it61% 11 of 18
Postelt2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 42 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKouble8wins
AwayPostelt2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKouble leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKouble100%4 of 4
AwayPostelt33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kouble4Postelt6n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S2Kouble7Postelt3n = 10Kouble took 7 of 10
S3Kouble7Postelt3n = 10Kouble took 7 of 10
S4Kouble6Postelt2n = 8Kouble took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoublePosteltK − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.435.6+4.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoublePosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 218 vs 428 / 80647.7%53.1%104 / 218 vs 428 / 806Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoubleKouble 1.50/Postelt 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Kouble · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kouble won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 23:30D. Kouble341111123V. Postelt2394100
WSep 1 · 24:30D. Kouble4391112113V. Postelt351161081
WJun 23 · 01:30D. Kouble4181111113V. Postelt33118771
WMay 13 · 01:30D. Kouble51121117113V. Postelt461491581
LFeb 7 · 23:30D. Kouble32411981V. Postelt4111811113
WDec 23 · 02:30D. Kouble4391112113V. Postelt371171091
WNov 25 · 24:30D. Kouble4111127113V. Postelt325101161
WOct 28 · 03:30D. Kouble531191111113V. Postelt4181181312
LJul 17 · 01:30D. Kouble239950V. Postelt331111113
WMay 27 · 19:00D. Kouble4313811113V. Postelt351111491
D. Kouble10
LSep 20 · 23:30P. Zmuda1.831411113D. Kouble1.8312940LSep 20 · 03:29J. Trefny2.251111113D. Kouble1.578950LSep 20 · 01:30D. Kouble1.8011951182P. Budinsky1.91911117113WSep 20 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.205750D. Kouble1.611111113LSep 19 · 23:30R. Pavelka2.201411113D. Kouble1.6112540WSep 19 · 22:30D. Kouble1.6711611133J. Trefny2.109115111LSep 10 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke1.8311611113D. Kouble1.83811481WSep 10 · 24:30D. Kouble1.7313811113V. Cermak2.001111781LSep 9 · 23:00D. Kouble2.63861241J. Hradecky1.44111110113LSep 9 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.201211113D. Kouble1.6110560
V. Postelt10
LSep 21 · 24:00R. Krejci1.441111113V. Postelt2.635360WSep 20 · 20:58V. Postelt1.6111711113P. Budinsky2.20911631WSep 20 · 20:00V. Postelt1.8311911113J. Stolfa1.83911581LSep 20 · 19:30R. Pavelka1.911111113V. Postelt1.807570WSep 20 · 18:00V. Postelt1.8071111113P. Budinsky1.91119561WSep 14 · 03:30V. Postelt1.651111113J. Plachy2.071540LSep 14 · 02:30V. Postelt1.3687111182J. Dedek3.00111144113WSep 14 · 01:30P. Fojt2.759680V. Postelt1.401111113WSep 14 · 24:00V. Postelt1.6111415163J. Plachy2.2011113141WSep 13 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911186101V. Postelt1.8051111123
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