TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Radim Pavelka
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115117––––
Vladimir Postelt
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladimir Postelt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Pavelka above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 52 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Vladimir Postelt at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Radim Pavelka 27–41 Vladimir Postelt Radim Pavelka has won 27 of their 68 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 15:30What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Postelt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-41 in 68
Postelt
Wrong
gap of 14 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pavelka 1536 vs Postelt 1502
Pavelka
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pavelka 60% vs Postelt 80%
Postelt
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pavelka 60% vs Postelt 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pavelka -1 · Postelt +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pavelka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPavelka 1.91 / Postelt 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pavelka)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160028
Pavelka1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 68 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back25% 23 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Postelt1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 119 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it97% 57 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it86% 92 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePavelka3wins
AwayPostelt7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePavelka50%2 of 4
AwayPostelt83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pavelka4Postelt6n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S2Pavelka4Postelt6n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S3Pavelka3Postelt7n = 10Postelt took 7 of 10
S4Pavelka4Postelt4n = 8split evenly
S5Pavelka1Postelt2n = 3Postelt took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPavelkaPosteltPavelka − PosteltBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.240.8−2.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPavelkaPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime447 / 879 vs 429 / 80650.9%53.2%447 / 879 vs 429 / 806Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PavelkaPavelka 1.91/Postelt 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pavelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pavelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 02:00R. Pavelka4611981172V. Postelt49711119113
WAug 29 · 22:00R. Pavelka51119911113V. Postelt4251111962
LAug 23 · 20:59R. Pavelka2011630V. Postelt351311113
WAug 23 · 18:30R. Pavelka4391112113V. Postelt331171051
LJul 12 · 19:30R. Pavelka356116121V. Postelt4511911143
LJul 5 · 18:00R. Pavelka48811118102V. Postelt52119911123
LJul 1 · 21:00R. Pavelka33115891V. Postelt3851111113
LJul 1 · 19:00R. Pavelka381311591V. Postelt4415711113
LJun 14 · 21:30R. Pavelka2671180V. Postelt351113113
WJun 14 · 20:30R. Pavelka4211911113V. Postelt35911871
R. Pavelka10
WSep 20 · 20:30P. Budinsky1.83118441R. Pavelka1.8351111113LSep 20 · 18:30J. Stolfa1.801111113R. Pavelka1.909760WSep 20 · 03:00R. Pavelka1.7391111143J. Prokupek2.001158121WSep 20 · 02:30P. Budinsky1.73811111162R. Pavelka2.00113134113LSep 20 · 01:00J. Trefny1.9111116113R. Pavelka1.80481141WSep 19 · 23:30R. Pavelka2.201411113D. Kouble1.6112540LSep 19 · 22:00R. Pavelka1.611165101J. Prokupek2.2061111123WSep 18 · 21:29R. Pavelka1.73116118113J. Prokupek2.0051121152WSep 18 · 20:00R. Pavelka2.50412118113P. Budinsky1.50111031172WSep 18 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0071131572R. Pavelka1.731131113113
V. Postelt10
WSep 20 · 20:00V. Postelt1.8311911113J. Stolfa1.83911581WSep 20 · 18:00V. Postelt1.8071111113P. Budinsky1.91119561WSep 14 · 03:30V. Postelt1.651111113J. Plachy2.071540LSep 14 · 02:30V. Postelt1.3687111182J. Dedek3.00111144113WSep 14 · 01:30P. Fojt2.759680V. Postelt1.401111113WSep 14 · 24:00V. Postelt1.6111415163J. Plachy2.2011113141WSep 13 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911186101V. Postelt1.8051111123LSep 10 · 13:30T. Vinter1.601111113V. Postelt2.206870WSep 10 · 12:30M. Kolar2.0010750V. Postelt1.731211113WSep 10 · 11:30V. Postelt1.501111113J. Dedek2.508470
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