TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Petr Budinsky
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115811411411––
Radim Pavelka
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadim Pavelka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Budinsky above · Radim Pavelka below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 65 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Radim Pavelka at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Petr Budinsky 4–5 Radim Pavelka Petr Budinsky has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:28What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Pavelka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Budinsky 1462 vs Pavelka 1558
Pavelka
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budinsky 20% vs Pavelka 60%
Pavelka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budinsky 30% vs Pavelka 70%
Pavelka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Budinsky -3 · Pavelka +1
Budinsky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pavelka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budinsky form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudinsky 1.83 / Pavelka 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pavelka)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159815
Budinsky1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Pavelka1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeBudinsky4wins
AwayPavelka5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderPavelka leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBudinsky33.3%1 of 3
AwayPavelka50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budinsky3Pavelka6n = 9Pavelka took 6 of 9
S2Budinsky5Pavelka4n = 9Budinsky took 5 of 9
S3Budinsky3Pavelka6n = 9Pavelka took 6 of 9
S4Budinsky6Pavelka2n = 8Budinsky took 6 of 8
S5Budinsky1Pavelka2n = 3Pavelka took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricBudinskyPavelkaB − PBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match38.337.0+1.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudinskyPavelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 168 vs 449 / 88148.2%51%81 / 168 vs 449 / 881Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PavelkaBudinsky 1.83/Pavelka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pavelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pavelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 20 · 20:30P. Budinsky27118441R. Pavelka3851111113
LSep 20 · 02:30P. Budinsky47811111162R. Pavelka42113134113
LSep 18 · 20:00P. Budinsky42111031172R. Pavelka46412118113
WAug 2 · 08:30P. Budinsky4012611113R. Pavelka351011771
LMay 24 · 21:30P. Budinsky2510870R. Pavelka341211113
WMay 24 · 20:30P. Budinsky3741111113R. Pavelka24115351
LMar 15 · 21:58P. Budinsky325116101R. Pavelka4111711123
WMar 15 · 19:00P. Budinsky44111111113R. Pavelka29137451
WDec 24 · 02:00P. Budinsky51811911123R. Pavelka44119113102
P. Budinsky10
LSep 20 · 20:58V. Postelt1.6111711113P. Budinsky2.20911631LSep 20 · 19:00P. Budinsky2.004101161J. Stolfa1.7211126113LSep 20 · 18:00V. Postelt1.8071111113P. Budinsky1.91119561LSep 20 · 02:30P. Budinsky1.73811111162R. Pavelka2.00113134113WSep 20 · 01:30D. Kouble1.8011951182P. Budinsky1.91911117113LSep 20 · 24:00P. Budinsky1.61111111482J. Trefny2.20813911113LSep 19 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.501112113P. Budinsky1.5071060WSep 19 · 16:59P. Budinsky1.4091111123K. Novak2.751138101WSep 19 · 16:30P. Budinsky1.361111113K. Novak3.008750LSep 19 · 15:00P. Budinsky1.61415611112Y. Holovatiuk2.201113114133
R. Pavelka10
WSep 20 · 19:30R. Pavelka1.911111113V. Postelt1.807570WSep 20 · 03:00R. Pavelka1.7391111143J. Prokupek2.001158121WSep 20 · 02:30P. Budinsky1.73811111162R. Pavelka2.00113134113LSep 20 · 01:00J. Trefny1.9111116113R. Pavelka1.80481141WSep 19 · 23:30R. Pavelka2.201411113D. Kouble1.6112540LSep 19 · 22:00R. Pavelka1.611165101J. Prokupek2.2061111123WSep 18 · 21:29R. Pavelka1.73116118113J. Prokupek2.0051121152WSep 18 · 20:00R. Pavelka2.50412118113P. Budinsky1.50111031172WSep 18 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0071131572R. Pavelka1.731131113113LSep 18 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.73111141192J. Prokupek2.00139117113
Upcoming Matches
P. Budinsky
Nothing scheduled
R. Pavelka
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