TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154209
Played Sep 20Finished
Petr Budinsky
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111131113114611
Radim Pavelka
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:43 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timePetr Budinsky to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Budinsky above · Radim Pavelka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 89 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Petr Budinsky at 59.7%
89 points played in total.
H2H Petr Budinsky 4–4 Radim Pavelka Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:43What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Budinsky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Budinsky 1498 vs Pavelka 1553
Pavelka
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budinsky 60% vs Pavelka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budinsky 40% vs Pavelka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Budinsky +1 · Pavelka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pavelka) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudinsky 1.73 / Pavelka 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pavelka)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154209
Budinsky1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 23 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it64% 14 of 22
Pavelka2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 66 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back25% 23 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeBudinsky4wins
AwayPavelka4wins
3 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBudinskyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPavelka50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budinsky2Pavelka6n = 8Pavelka took 6 of 8
S2Budinsky5Pavelka3n = 8Budinsky took 5 of 8
S3Budinsky3Pavelka5n = 8Pavelka took 5 of 8
S4Budinsky6Pavelka1n = 7Budinsky took 6 of 7
S5Budinsky1Pavelka2n = 3Pavelka took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricBudinskyPavelkaB − PBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match39.836.9+2.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudinskyPavelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 165 vs 446 / 87749.1%50.9%81 / 165 vs 446 / 877Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PavelkaBudinsky 1.73/Pavelka 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pavelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pavelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 20 · 02:30P. Budinsky47811111162R. Pavelka42113134113
LSep 18 · 20:00P. Budinsky42111031172R. Pavelka46412118113
WAug 2 · 08:30P. Budinsky4012611113R. Pavelka351011771
LMay 24 · 21:30P. Budinsky2510870R. Pavelka341211113
WMay 24 · 20:30P. Budinsky3741111113R. Pavelka24115351
LMar 15 · 21:58P. Budinsky325116101R. Pavelka4111711123
WMar 15 · 19:00P. Budinsky44111111113R. Pavelka29137451
WDec 24 · 02:00P. Budinsky51811911123R. Pavelka44119113102
P. Budinsky10
WSep 20 · 01:30D. Kouble1.8011951182P. Budinsky1.91911117113LSep 20 · 24:00P. Budinsky1.61111111482J. Trefny2.20813911113LSep 19 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.501112113P. Budinsky1.5071060WSep 19 · 16:59P. Budinsky1.4091111123K. Novak2.751138101WSep 19 · 16:30P. Budinsky1.361111113K. Novak3.008750LSep 19 · 15:00P. Budinsky1.61415611112Y. Holovatiuk2.201113114133LSep 19 · 14:00J. Trefny2.100101111113P. Budinsky1.6711129862WSep 18 · 20:58P. Budinsky1.3611117113J. Dedek3.00831161LSep 18 · 20:00R. Pavelka2.50412118113P. Budinsky1.50111031172LSep 18 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.25881111113P. Budinsky1.5711117882
R. Pavelka10
WSep 20 · 03:00R. Pavelka1.7391111143J. Prokupek2.001158121LSep 20 · 01:00J. Trefny1.9111116113R. Pavelka1.80481141WSep 19 · 23:30R. Pavelka2.201411113D. Kouble1.6112540LSep 19 · 22:00R. Pavelka1.611165101J. Prokupek2.2061111123WSep 18 · 21:29R. Pavelka1.73116118113J. Prokupek2.0051121152WSep 18 · 20:00R. Pavelka2.50412118113P. Budinsky1.50111031172WSep 18 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0071131572R. Pavelka1.731131113113LSep 18 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.73111141192J. Prokupek2.00139117113WSep 9 · 02:58J. Trefny1.80611791R. Pavelka1.9111411113LSep 9 · 02:00R. Pavelka2.2011981172V. Postelt1.61711119113
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