Radim Pavelka vs Jaroslav Prokupek 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13156361

Played Sep 18Finished

Radim Pavelka

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

115611112811115

Jaroslav Prokupek

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingRadim Pavelka above · Jaroslav Prokupek below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 11-2

Set 4 · 8-11

Set 5 · 11-5

Point 81 set 5, 11-5

81 points played in total.

H2H Radim Pavelka 47–50 Jaroslav Prokupek Radim Pavelka has won 47 of their 97 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3SplitHead to head

Same-day rematch · 4h before this match

Prokupek beat Pavelka 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Pavelka)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Prokupek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPavelka 1.73 / Prokupek 2.00

Signal prob.55% / 45%

Edge (Pavelka)+1.2pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13156361

Pavelka1.73

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite62% won 91 of 147

Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44

Up 1–0, closes it77% 64 of 83

Prokupek2.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog40% won 90 of 226

Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 113

Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 70

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePavelka7wins

AwayProkupek3wins

4 of 10 to a deciderPavelka leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePavelka100%6 of 6

AwayProkupek75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Pavelka6Prokupek4n = 10Pavelka took 6 of 10

S2Pavelka9Prokupek1n = 10Pavelka took 9 of 10

S3Pavelka5Prokupek5n = 10split evenly

S4Pavelka6Prokupek1n = 7Pavelka took 6 of 7

S5Pavelka1Prokupek3n = 4Prokupek took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricPavelkaProkupekPavelka − ProkupekBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.232.5+8.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPavelkaProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime444 / 876 vs 665 / 139350.7%47.7%444 / 876 vs 665 / 1393Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Pavelka

Pavelka 1.73/Prokupek 2.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54.9%

Pavelka · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Pavelka won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 18 · 18:00R. Pavelka46111141192J. Prokupek51139117113

WSep 6 · 20:59R. Pavelka331111113J. Prokupek186570

WSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka4311156113J. Prokupek326131121

WSep 4 · 14:00R. Pavelka3812114113J. Prokupek291051131

WJul 5 · 08:30R. Pavelka5511101112113J. Prokupek4621291492

WJun 20 · 09:30R. Pavelka331111113J. Prokupek176650

WJun 20 · 07:30R. Pavelka4181111113J. Prokupek25113741

LJun 18 · 16:30R. Pavelka47611101192J. Prokupek42113125113

LJun 5 · 06:00R. Pavelka4331191192J. Prokupek48118117113

WJun 4 · 01:00R. Pavelka331111113J. Prokupek178450

R. Pavelka10

WSep 18 · 20:00R. Pavelka2.50412118113P. Budinsky1.50111031172 WSep 18 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0071131572R. Pavelka1.731131113113 LSep 18 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.73111141192J. Prokupek2.00139117113 WSep 9 · 02:58J. Trefny1.80611791R. Pavelka1.9111411113 LSep 9 · 02:00R. Pavelka2.2011981172V. Postelt1.61711119113 LSep 9 · 01:00R. Pavelka1.731011951M. Vedmoch2.0012311113 WSep 9 · 24:00R. Krejci1.6711981132R. Pavelka2.10711119113 LSep 8 · 22:30J. Trefny1.83811134113R. Pavelka1.83119111172 LSep 7 · 16:59R. Pavelka1.831013111192T. Dousa1.831211136113 WSep 7 · 16:30R. Pavelka1.911111113T. Dousa1.807580

J. Prokupek10

LSep 18 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91115671J. Dedek1.8071111113 WSep 18 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.25881111113P. Budinsky1.5711117882 WSep 18 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.73111141192J. Prokupek2.00139117113 WSep 15 · 20:58L. Krok2.107770J. Prokupek1.671111113 WSep 15 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk2.006117111J. Prokupek1.7311911133 LSep 15 · 19:30J. Prokupek1.539370K. Darin2.381111113 LSep 15 · 18:30L. Krok2.3851111113J. Prokupek1.53119761 WSep 15 · 08:59M. Vesely1.448990J. Prokupek2.631111113 LSep 15 · 08:30P. Zmuda1.5781111113J. Prokupek2.25117891 LSep 15 · 07:30J. Prokupek1.8311118782T. Varnuska1.83481111113

Upcoming Matches

R. Pavelka

Sep 19 · 22:00R. Pavelka1.73J. Prokupek2.00—Sep 19 · 23:30R. Pavelka2.20D. Kouble1.61—Sep 20 · 01:00R. Pavelka1.80J. Trefny1.91—Sep 20 · 02:30R. Pavelka2.50P. Budinsky1.50—

J. Prokupek

Sep 19 · 22:00J. Prokupek2.00R. Pavelka1.73—Sep 19 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.25P. Budinsky1.57—Sep 20 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.20D. Kouble1.61—Sep 20 · 02:00J. Prokupek2.00J. Trefny1.73—

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Decision Summary

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Match Winner

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Decision Summary

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

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