TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13148140
Played Sep 18Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811811117118118
Petr Budinsky
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:18 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timePetr Budinsky to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Petr Budinsky below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 94 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Petr Budinsky at 57.1%
94 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 5–8 Petr Budinsky Jaroslav Prokupek has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:18What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Budinsky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Budinsky
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1494 vs Budinsky 1502
Budinsky
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 60% vs Budinsky 40%
Prokupek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 50% vs Budinsky 30%
Prokupek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek +3 · Budinsky +1
Prokupek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Budinsky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budinsky form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 2.25 / Budinsky 1.57
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Budinsky)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13148140
Prokupek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 90 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 70
Budinsky1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 21 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it67% 12 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek5wins
AwayBudinsky5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek57.1%4 of 7
AwayBudinsky66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek7Budinsky3n = 10Prokupek took 7 of 10
S2Prokupek1Budinsky9n = 10Budinsky took 9 of 10
S3Prokupek4Budinsky6n = 10Budinsky took 6 of 10
S4Prokupek4Budinsky4n = 8split evenly
S5Prokupek3Budinsky1n = 4Prokupek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekBudinskyP − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.442.2−4.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekBudinskyBasisWin rate · lifetime664 / 1391 vs 77 / 15447.7%50%664 / 1391 vs 77 / 154Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudinskyProkupek 2.25/Budinsky 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.1%
Budinsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 24 · 18:00J. Prokupek3811411123P. Budinsky399119101
LMay 23 · 17:30J. Prokupek33147391P. Budinsky45121111113
WMay 23 · 15:00J. Prokupek521112611123P. Budinsky50614119102
LApr 26 · 14:00J. Prokupek35116991P. Budinsky4181111113
LApr 25 · 19:30J. Prokupek2881190P. Budinsky351113113
WApr 7 · 23:30J. Prokupek551013138113P. Budinsky531211111182
WApr 7 · 17:30J. Prokupek3711411113P. Budinsky31711581
LApr 7 · 15:30J. Prokupek3911941142P. Budinsky48911116113
LMar 1 · 17:30J. Prokupek123540P. Budinsky331111113
WJan 16 · 17:30J. Prokupek45114145113P. Budinsky47411121192
J. Prokupek10
LSep 18 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91115671J. Dedek1.8071111113WSep 18 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.73111141192J. Prokupek2.00139117113WSep 15 · 20:58L. Krok2.107770J. Prokupek1.671111113WSep 15 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk2.006117111J. Prokupek1.7311911133LSep 15 · 19:30J. Prokupek1.539370K. Darin2.381111113LSep 15 · 18:30L. Krok2.3851111113J. Prokupek1.53119761WSep 15 · 08:59M. Vesely1.448990J. Prokupek2.631111113LSep 15 · 08:30P. Zmuda1.5781111113J. Prokupek2.25117891LSep 15 · 07:30J. Prokupek1.8311118782T. Varnuska1.83481111113LSep 15 · 06:30M. Vesely1.731111113J. Prokupek2.009580
P. Budinsky10
WSep 18 · 20:58P. Budinsky1.3611117113J. Dedek3.00831161LSep 18 · 20:00R. Pavelka2.50412118113P. Budinsky1.50111031172WSep 18 · 18:30P. Budinsky1.441111113J. Dedek2.638950LAug 30 · 16:58D. Tuma1.5311116113P. Budinsky2.38801131LAug 30 · 16:30M. Nohejl1.731111113P. Budinsky2.008570WAug 30 · 15:30P. Budinsky2.5011118113D. Tuma1.50691171LAug 30 · 14:30T. Janata1.3311118113P. Budinsky3.25891151LAug 30 · 08:58P. Budinsky2.208290J. Svoboda1.611111113LAug 30 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.73118611113P. Budinsky2.0071111872WAug 30 · 07:30P. Budinsky1.83111178113J. Hradecky1.8347111192
Upcoming Matches
J. Prokupek
P. Budinsky
Sep 19 · 14:00P. Budinsky1.67J. Trefny2.10—Sep 19 · 15:00P. Budinsky1.61Y. Holovatiuk2.20—Sep 19 · 16:30P. Budinsky1.61K. Novak2.20—Sep 19 · 23:00P. Budinsky1.57J. Prokupek2.25—Sep 20 · 24:00P. Budinsky1.61J. Trefny2.20—Sep 20 · 01:30P. Budinsky1.91D. Kouble1.80—Sep 20 · 02:30P. Budinsky1.50R. Pavelka2.50—
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