TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13156240
Played Sep 18Finished
Petr Budinsky
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118113711116––
Jiri Dedek
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPetr Budinsky above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 68 set 4, 11-6
68 points played in total.
H2H Petr Budinsky 2–1 Jiri Dedek Jiri Dedek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Budinsky beat Dedek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Budinsky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budinsky form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudinsky 1.36 / Dedek 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Budinsky)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13156240
Budinsky1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 21 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it67% 12 of 18
Dedek3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 77 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back23% 27 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBudinsky2wins
AwayDedek1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBudinsky leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budinsky2Dedek1n = 3Budinsky took 2 of 3
S2Budinsky1Dedek2n = 3Dedek took 2 of 3
S3Budinsky2Dedek1n = 3Budinsky took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBudinskyDedekB − DBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match38.034.0+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudinskyDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 156 vs 485 / 93749.4%51.8%77 / 156 vs 485 / 937Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.636.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudinskyBudinsky 1.36/Dedek 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Budinsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Budinsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 18 · 18:30P. Budinsky331111113J. Dedek228950
WJun 7 · 16:30P. Budinsky51991111113J. Dedek4211114882
LJan 16 · 15:00P. Budinsky301141051J. Dedek3841112113
P. Budinsky10
LSep 18 · 20:00R. Pavelka2.50412118113P. Budinsky1.50111031172LSep 18 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.25881111113P. Budinsky1.5711117882WSep 18 · 18:30P. Budinsky1.441111113J. Dedek2.638950LAug 30 · 16:58D. Tuma1.5311116113P. Budinsky2.38801131LAug 30 · 16:30M. Nohejl1.731111113P. Budinsky2.008570WAug 30 · 15:30P. Budinsky2.5011118113D. Tuma1.50691171LAug 30 · 14:30T. Janata1.3311118113P. Budinsky3.25891151LAug 30 · 08:58P. Budinsky2.208290J. Svoboda1.611111113LAug 30 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.73118611113P. Budinsky2.0071111872WAug 30 · 07:30P. Budinsky1.83111178113J. Hradecky1.8347111192
J. Dedek10
WSep 18 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91115671J. Dedek1.8071111113LSep 18 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0071131572R. Pavelka1.731131113113LSep 18 · 18:30P. Budinsky1.441111113J. Dedek2.638950WSep 16 · 17:00J. Dedek1.44121111113F. Briza2.63148751LSep 16 · 16:00J. Dedek1.449390Y. Holovatiuk2.631111113WSep 16 · 15:30F. Briza3.40111011882J. Dedek1.30912611113LSep 16 · 14:00J. Dedek1.83971111102T. Kolenic1.83111177123WSep 14 · 21:00J. Dedek1.4411911113Y. Holovatiuk2.63511331WSep 14 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.914114101J. Dedek1.8011811123LSep 14 · 19:30J. Dedek1.4061141182Y. Holovatiuk2.75118117113
Upcoming Matches
P. Budinsky
Sep 19 · 14:00P. Budinsky1.67J. Trefny2.10—Sep 19 · 15:00P. Budinsky1.61Y. Holovatiuk2.20—Sep 19 · 16:30P. Budinsky1.61K. Novak2.20—Sep 19 · 23:00P. Budinsky1.57J. Prokupek2.25—Sep 20 · 24:00P. Budinsky1.61J. Trefny2.20—Sep 20 · 01:30P. Budinsky1.91D. Kouble1.80—Sep 20 · 02:30P. Budinsky1.50R. Pavelka2.50—
J. Dedek
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