TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13134265
Played Sep 16Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9117111171171012
Tibor Kolenic
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Tibor Kolenic below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 96 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 5–20 Tibor Kolenic Jiri Dedek has won 5 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:24What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kolenic
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-20 in 25
Kolenic
Correct
gap of 15 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1511 vs Kolenic 1395
Dedek
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 40% vs Kolenic 20%
Dedek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 60% vs Kolenic 20%
Dedek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek +2 · Kolenic -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dedek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolenic form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.83 / Kolenic 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dedek)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13134265
Dedek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kolenic1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek1wins
AwayKolenic9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolenic leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKolenic87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek2Kolenic8n = 10Kolenic took 8 of 10
S2Dedek4Kolenic6n = 10Kolenic took 6 of 10
S3Dedek3Kolenic7n = 10Kolenic took 7 of 10
S4Dedek2Kolenic5n = 7Kolenic took 5 of 7
S5Dedek1Kolenic3n = 4Kolenic took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekKolenicD − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.440.2−7.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekKolenicBasisWin rate · lifetime487 / 939 vs 258 / 55551.9%46.5%487 / 939 vs 258 / 555Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.83/Kolenic 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.4%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolenic won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 16:30J. Dedek4571111792T. Kolenic45117511113
LMay 11 · 18:00J. Dedek1633100T. Kolenic341111123
WApr 20 · 16:30J. Dedek463111011113T. Kolenic4111812732
LOct 30 · 22:00J. Dedek4291111562T. Kolenic44113811113
LOct 30 · 19:30J. Dedek142930T. Kolenic331111113
LOct 20 · 16:30J. Dedek361191061T. Kolenic4391112113
LOct 5 · 18:30J. Dedek28115391T. Kolenic4071111113
LSep 16 · 17:00J. Dedek30691141T. Kolenic4011117113
LSep 16 · 14:30J. Dedek239950T. Kolenic331111113
LSep 4 · 10:00J. Dedek44811411102T. Kolenic49116119123
J. Dedek10
WSep 16 · 15:30F. Briza3.40111011882J. Dedek1.30912611113WSep 14 · 21:00J. Dedek1.4411911113Y. Holovatiuk2.63511331WSep 14 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.914114101J. Dedek1.8011811123LSep 14 · 19:30J. Dedek1.4061141182Y. Holovatiuk2.75118117113LSep 14 · 18:30L. Krok2.751111118113J. Dedek1.4058131172LSep 14 · 02:58J. Dedek1.80711961J. Prokupek1.9111611113WSep 14 · 02:30V. Postelt1.3687111182J. Dedek3.00111144113LSep 14 · 01:00J. Plachy1.671111113J. Dedek2.104560WSep 13 · 23:30J. Dedek1.3611118113P. Fojt3.00671151WSep 13 · 22:00J. Dedek1.801110911113J. Prokupek1.9161211992
T. Kolenic10
WSep 16 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.3851113113Y. Holovatiuk1.531171171LSep 15 · 16:59T. Kolenic1.8011711892A. Svoboda1.91411811113WSep 15 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.57881111113F. Briza2.2511119872LSep 15 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.00811711102P. Klusacek1.73118119123LSep 15 · 14:00A. Svoboda2.20711118113T. Kolenic1.6111691182LSep 11 · 20:58K. Darin1.911310911113T. Kolenic1.80111211542LSep 11 · 20:30K. Darin2.20611115113T. Kolenic1.6111651162LSep 11 · 19:30T. Kolenic1.57116761L. Krok2.2541111113LSep 11 · 18:30K. Novak1.36127811113T. Kolenic3.00101111692LAug 31 · 17:01J. Dedek1.851111113T. Kolenic1.858480
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