TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13136005
Played Sep 15Finished
Tibor Kolenic
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114711118811911
Adam Svoboda
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingTibor Kolenic above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11
91 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Kolenic 3–1 Adam Svoboda Adam Svoboda has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Svoboda beat Kolenic 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenic 1.80 / Svoboda 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Svoboda)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13136005
Kolenic1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 67 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it100% 37 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it73% 54 of 74
Svoboda1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 42 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back17% 10 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKolenic3wins
AwaySvoboda1wins
3 of 4 to a deciderKolenic leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolenic75%3 of 4
AwaySvobodan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolenic4Svoboda0n = 4Kolenic took 4 of 4
S2Kolenic2Svoboda2n = 4split evenly
S3Kolenic1Svoboda3n = 4Svoboda took 3 of 4
S4Kolenic2Svoboda1n = 3Kolenic took 2 of 3
S5Kolenic2Svoboda1n = 3Kolenic took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKolenicSvobodaK − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match44.039.5+4.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenicSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 554 vs 170 / 32346.6%52.6%258 / 554 vs 170 / 323Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaKolenic 1.80/Svoboda 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 15 · 14:00T. Kolenic4511691182A. Svoboda48711118113
WAug 15 · 15:00T. Kolenic51111198123A. Svoboda43561111102
WAug 14 · 10:30T. Kolenic341211113A. Svoboda2310490
WJul 17 · 20:00T. Kolenic46117611113A. Svoboda4471111692
T. Kolenic10
WSep 15 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.57881111113F. Briza2.2511119872LSep 15 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.00811711102P. Klusacek1.73118119123LSep 15 · 14:00A. Svoboda2.20711118113T. Kolenic1.6111691182LSep 11 · 20:58K. Darin1.911310911113T. Kolenic1.80111211542LSep 11 · 20:30K. Darin2.20611115113T. Kolenic1.6111651162LSep 11 · 19:30T. Kolenic1.57116761L. Krok2.2541111113LSep 11 · 18:30K. Novak1.36127811113T. Kolenic3.00101111692LAug 31 · 17:01J. Dedek1.851111113T. Kolenic1.858480WAug 31 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.83117511113J. Dedek1.8371111792LAug 31 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.20118991J. Trefny1.6151111113
A. Svoboda10
LSep 15 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.001171171P. Klusacek1.7313114113LSep 15 · 15:30F. Briza1.91811115143A. Svoboda1.80115511122WSep 15 · 14:00A. Svoboda2.20711118113T. Kolenic1.6111691182LSep 14 · 13:28A. Svoboda1.80119981J. Steffan1.9161111113WSep 14 · 12:00J. Steffan1.801211209142A. Svoboda1.911461811163WSep 14 · 11:00V. Pecka2.0081060A. Svoboda1.731112113WSep 14 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.63117311113K. Darin1.4491111792WSep 14 · 09:00M. Stefek2.008730A. Svoboda1.731111113LSep 14 · 08:00K. Darin1.531111113A. Svoboda2.387380LSep 14 · 07:00M. Stefek2.25111111113A. Svoboda1.57413751
Upcoming Matches
T. Kolenic
A. Svoboda
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.