TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129473
Played Sep 14Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116911911811––
Jan Steffan
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11
76 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 7–8 Jan Steffan Adam Svoboda has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Svoboda beat Steffan 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.80 / Steffan 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Svoboda)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129473
Svoboda1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 61 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it90% 44 of 49
Steffan1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 86 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvoboda5wins
AwaySteffan5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvoboda80%4 of 5
AwaySteffan80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda5Steffan5n = 10split evenly
S2Svoboda1Steffan9n = 10Steffan took 9 of 10
S3Svoboda2Steffan8n = 10Steffan took 8 of 10
S4Svoboda6Steffan1n = 7Svoboda took 6 of 7
S5Svoboda4Steffan1n = 5Svoboda took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvobodaSteffanSvoboda − SteffanBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.441.6−2.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime169 / 319 vs 465 / 97453%47.7%169 / 319 vs 465 / 974Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.80/Steffan 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 12:00A. Svoboda651461811163J. Steffan661211209142
WSep 11 · 10:30A. Svoboda42271111113J. Steffan4111116852
WSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda501171011113J. Steffan4471112952
LJun 20 · 03:29A. Svoboda41111031162J. Steffan45512116113
LJun 20 · 24:00A. Svoboda198650J. Steffan331111113
WMay 23 · 24:00A. Svoboda4111118113J. Steffan34681191
LMay 9 · 03:28A. Svoboda175570J. Steffan331111113
LMay 9 · 02:30A. Svoboda33781171J. Steffan3811115113
WApr 18 · 02:30A. Svoboda51119911113J. Steffan4151111682
LApr 3 · 23:30A. Svoboda351114100J. Steffan411316123
A. Svoboda10
WSep 14 · 12:00J. Steffan1.801211209142A. Svoboda1.911461811163WSep 14 · 11:00V. Pecka2.0081060A. Svoboda1.731112113WSep 14 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.63117311113K. Darin1.4491111792WSep 14 · 09:00M. Stefek2.008730A. Svoboda1.731111113LSep 14 · 08:00K. Darin1.531111113A. Svoboda2.387380LSep 14 · 07:00M. Stefek2.25111111113A. Svoboda1.57413751LSep 14 · 06:30A. Svoboda1.7311134442J. Jnr2.007111111113WSep 13 · 03:29A. Svoboda1.7351111113F. Briza2.00113471WSep 13 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.9112119113M. Kolar1.801071181WSep 13 · 01:00A. Svoboda2.101211113M. Placek1.6710890
J. Steffan10
LSep 14 · 12:00J. Steffan1.801211209142A. Svoboda1.911461811163WSep 14 · 11:30K. Darin1.61281281J. Steffan2.20111110113WSep 14 · 10:00J. Steffan1.7391111113V. Pecka2.00113741LSep 11 · 12:59J. Steffan1.9139111142M. Svedik1.80111179113WSep 11 · 12:30M. Svedik1.6111460J. Steffan2.201311113LSep 11 · 11:30J. Steffan2.63128721J. Dedek1.44101111113LSep 11 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.00271111113J. Steffan1.7311116852LSep 11 · 09:30T. Andrle1.90871111113J. Steffan1.8011118962WSep 11 · 08:30J. Steffan1.83611612123T. Andrle1.831181110102WSep 11 · 07:00J. Steffan2.20131112113O. Fejtek1.611191491
Upcoming Matches
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