TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13123239
Played Sep 13Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511113114117––
Frantisek Briza
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Frantisek Briza below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 63 set 4, 11-7
63 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 3–8 Frantisek Briza Adam Svoboda has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Briza beat Svoboda 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.73 / Briza 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svoboda)+0.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13123239
Svoboda1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 60 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it90% 44 of 49
Briza2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 74 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back22% 29 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvoboda2wins
AwayBriza8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBriza leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvoboda20%1 of 5
AwayBriza80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda5Briza5n = 10split evenly
S2Svoboda6Briza4n = 10Svoboda took 6 of 10
S3Svoboda5Briza5n = 10split evenly
S4Svoboda1Briza6n = 7Briza took 6 of 7
S5Svoboda0Briza5n = 5Briza took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvobodaBrizaS − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.840.7−1.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaBrizaBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 311 vs 381 / 82752.7%46.1%164 / 311 vs 381 / 827Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.73/Briza 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.2%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 22:30A. Svoboda45111161162F. Briza47571113113
LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda46111112392F. Briza48661411113
LAug 22 · 17:00A. Svoboda4611911782F. Briza47911511113
LAug 22 · 16:00A. Svoboda237880F. Briza331111113
LAug 15 · 20:00A. Svoboda2781360F. Briza371115113
WAug 8 · 02:00A. Svoboda3741111113F. Briza31116771
LJul 18 · 24:00A. Svoboda437914131F. Briza49111112153
WJul 17 · 19:30A. Svoboda331111113F. Briza174580
LJun 6 · 03:30A. Svoboda46111191052F. Briza52991112113
LJun 5 · 22:30A. Svoboda4241111792F. Briza46116711113
A. Svoboda10
WSep 13 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.9112119113M. Kolar1.801071181WSep 13 · 01:00A. Svoboda2.101211113M. Placek1.6710890WSep 13 · 24:00A. Mikuska1.4013871182A. Svoboda2.751111117113LSep 12 · 22:30F. Briza1.73571113113A. Svoboda2.00111161162WSep 12 · 17:29M. Kolar1.3671151172A. Svoboda3.00113118113WSep 12 · 16:00F. Jungman1.679211111A. Svoboda2.1011119133WSep 12 · 15:00M. Fisera2.5012813672A. Svoboda1.5010111111113LSep 12 · 14:30A. Svoboda2.38411891M. Kolar1.5311511113LSep 11 · 13:30J. Dedek1.431111113A. Svoboda2.607950LSep 11 · 12:00J. Dedek1.44117117133A. Svoboda2.63411911112
F. Briza10
LSep 13 · 01:30F. Briza2.6310121161A. Mikuska1.44121013113WSep 13 · 24:30M. Kolar1.4491030F. Briza2.631112113WSep 12 · 23:30M. Placek1.578116111F. Briza2.2511511133WSep 12 · 22:30F. Briza1.73571113113A. Svoboda2.00111161162LSep 12 · 20:58M. Placek1.5012119113F. Briza2.501081181LSep 12 · 20:30F. Briza2.108890M. Placek1.671111113LSep 12 · 19:00F. Briza2.63511461F. Jungman1.4411611113LSep 12 · 18:00P. Fojt1.5351111113F. Briza2.38119761LSep 11 · 03:30K. Darin2.20131011113F. Briza1.601112941WSep 11 · 02:00F. Briza1.73111114123T. Regner2.007516101
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.