TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115409
Played Sep 12Finished
Frantisek Briza
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5117111161311116
Adam Svoboda
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Briza to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 92 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Frantisek Briza at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 7–3 Adam Svoboda Adam Svoboda has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:25What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Briza
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Briza
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Briza 1417 vs Svoboda 1544
Svoboda
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briza 0% vs Svoboda 60%
Svoboda
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briza 40% vs Svoboda 60%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Briza -5 · Svoboda +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Briza)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briza form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 1.73 / Svoboda 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svoboda)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115409
Briza1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 82 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it98% 48 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it75% 61 of 81
Svoboda2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 39 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBriza7wins
AwaySvoboda3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBriza leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBriza80%4 of 5
AwaySvoboda40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briza5Svoboda5n = 10split evenly
S2Briza4Svoboda6n = 10Svoboda took 6 of 10
S3Briza5Svoboda5n = 10split evenly
S4Briza6Svoboda1n = 7Briza took 6 of 7
S5Briza4Svoboda1n = 5Briza took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrizaSvobodaB − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.438.8+1.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime378 / 826 vs 161 / 30745.8%52.4%378 / 826 vs 161 / 307Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrizaBriza 1.73/Svoboda 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Briza · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Briza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 16:00F. Briza48661411113A. Svoboda46111112392
WAug 22 · 17:00F. Briza47911511113A. Svoboda4611911782
WAug 22 · 16:00F. Briza331111113A. Svoboda237880
WAug 15 · 20:00F. Briza371115113A. Svoboda2781360
LAug 8 · 02:00F. Briza31116771A. Svoboda3741111113
WJul 18 · 24:00F. Briza49111112153A. Svoboda437914131
LJul 17 · 19:30F. Briza174580A. Svoboda331111113
WJun 6 · 03:30F. Briza52991112113A. Svoboda46111191052
WJun 5 · 22:30F. Briza46116711113A. Svoboda4241111792
LMay 30 · 24:00F. Briza4489111152A. Svoboda45111148113
F. Briza10
LSep 12 · 20:58M. Placek1.5012119113F. Briza2.501081181LSep 12 · 20:30F. Briza2.108890M. Placek1.671111113LSep 12 · 19:00F. Briza2.63511461F. Jungman1.4411611113LSep 12 · 18:00P. Fojt1.5351111113F. Briza2.38119761LSep 11 · 03:30K. Darin2.20131011113F. Briza1.601112941WSep 11 · 02:00F. Briza1.73111114123T. Regner2.007516101LSep 11 · 01:00F. Briza1.91841171K. Darin1.8011119113WSep 11 · 24:00R. Bartunek4.003780F. Briza1.221111113WSep 10 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.911120F. Briza1.801111113WSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651
A. Svoboda10
WSep 12 · 17:29M. Kolar1.3671151172A. Svoboda3.00113118113WSep 12 · 16:00F. Jungman1.679211111A. Svoboda2.1011119133WSep 12 · 15:00M. Fisera2.5012813672A. Svoboda1.5010111111113LSep 12 · 14:30A. Svoboda2.38411891M. Kolar1.5311511113LSep 11 · 13:30J. Dedek1.431111113A. Svoboda2.607950LSep 11 · 12:00J. Dedek1.44117117133A. Svoboda2.63411911112WSep 11 · 11:00M. Svedik1.53241151A. Svoboda2.3811114113WSep 11 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.00271111113J. Steffan1.7311116852LSep 11 · 08:59A. Svoboda1.6171090O. Fejtek2.201112113WSep 11 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113O. Fejtek1.834690
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