TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115169
Played Sep 13Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210118119––––
Marek Placek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Placek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Marek Placek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 61 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Marek Placek at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 0–4 Marek Placek Adam Svoboda has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:33What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Placek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Placek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1541 vs Placek 1428
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 80% vs Placek 60%
Svoboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 60% vs Placek 40%
Svoboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda +1 · Placek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Placek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 2.10 / Placek 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Svoboda)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115169
Svoboda2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 38 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back17% 10 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Placek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 45 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it83% 38 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSvoboda0wins
AwayPlacek4wins
2 of 4 to a deciderPlacek leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvobodan = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayPlacek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda0Placek4n = 4Placek took 4 of 4
S2Svoboda1Placek3n = 4Placek took 3 of 4
S3Svoboda3Placek1n = 4Svoboda took 3 of 4
S4Svoboda2Placek2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSvobodaPlacekS − PBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match40.047.2−7.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaPlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 309 vs 207 / 40152.4%51.6%162 / 309 vs 207 / 401Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlacekSvoboda 2.10/Placek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Placek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LMay 23 · 02:00A. Svoboda37971381M. Placek44111111113
LApr 24 · 23:00A. Svoboda32412791M. Placek43111011113
LJan 3 · 02:30A. Svoboda51810141182M. Placek541112128113
LDec 6 · 02:30A. Svoboda4084111162M. Placek48111169113
A. Svoboda10
WSep 13 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.9112119113M. Kolar1.801071181WSep 13 · 24:00A. Mikuska1.4013871182A. Svoboda2.751111117113LSep 12 · 22:30F. Briza1.73571113113A. Svoboda2.00111161162WSep 12 · 17:29M. Kolar1.3671151172A. Svoboda3.00113118113WSep 12 · 16:00F. Jungman1.679211111A. Svoboda2.1011119133WSep 12 · 15:00M. Fisera2.5012813672A. Svoboda1.5010111111113LSep 12 · 14:30A. Svoboda2.38411891M. Kolar1.5311511113LSep 11 · 13:30J. Dedek1.431111113A. Svoboda2.607950LSep 11 · 12:00J. Dedek1.44117117133A. Svoboda2.63411911112WSep 11 · 11:00M. Svedik1.53241151A. Svoboda2.3811114113
M. Placek10
LSep 13 · 02:58A. Mikuska1.531111113M. Placek2.386950LSep 13 · 02:30A. Mikuska1.571081111113M. Placek2.2512116962LSep 12 · 23:30M. Placek1.578116111F. Briza2.2511511133WSep 12 · 22:00M. Placek1.831111113M. Kolar1.838870WSep 12 · 20:58M. Placek1.5012119113F. Briza2.501081181WSep 12 · 20:30F. Briza2.108890M. Placek1.671111113LSep 12 · 19:30M. Placek3.40691191P. Fojt1.3011117113LSep 12 · 18:30F. Jungman1.6771111113M. Placek2.10117991LSep 8 · 02:58M. Placek1.4411811111O. Vitrovyj2.6341113133WSep 8 · 02:30M. Placek1.801111133O. Vitrovyj1.9179110
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