TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115403
Played Sep 13Finished
Frantisek Briza
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
101212101113611––
Alexander Mikuska
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:23 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeAlexander Mikuska to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Alexander Mikuska below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 85 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Alexander Mikuska at 60.8%
85 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 14–12 Alexander Mikuska Alexander Mikuska has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:23What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Mikuska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-12 in 26
Briza
Wrong
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Briza 1449 vs Mikuska 1542
Mikuska
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briza 60% vs Mikuska 40%
Briza
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briza 40% vs Mikuska 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Briza +3 · Mikuska -2
Briza
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Mikuska) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikuska form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 2.63 / Mikuska 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Mikuska)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115403
Briza2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 74 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back22% 29 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Mikuska1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 40 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it86% 30 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBriza3wins
AwayMikuska7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMikuska leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBriza66.7%2 of 3
AwayMikuska85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briza3Mikuska7n = 10Mikuska took 7 of 10
S2Briza6Mikuska4n = 10Briza took 6 of 10
S3Briza2Mikuska8n = 10Mikuska took 8 of 10
S4Briza1Mikuska3n = 4Mikuska took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrizaMikuskaB − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.736.2−3.5per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaMikuskaBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 827 vs 126 / 23846.1%52.9%381 / 827 vs 126 / 238Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MikuskaBriza 2.63/Mikuska 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Mikuska · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mikuska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 29 · 02:30F. Briza3410111031A. Mikuska4312812113
LJul 5 · 24:00F. Briza217950A. Mikuska331111113
LJun 28 · 01:30F. Briza53111191662A. Mikuska53851118113
WJun 25 · 22:30F. Briza331111113A. Mikuska207760
WJun 16 · 24:00F. Briza361311123A. Mikuska28117100
WJun 10 · 22:30F. Briza51911812113A. Mikuska45118111052
LMay 24 · 01:30F. Briza1610420A. Mikuska341211113
LMay 2 · 24:00F. Briza2481060A. Mikuska341112113
LApr 11 · 01:00F. Briza361011781A. Mikuska3912511113
LMar 27 · 23:00F. Briza239680A. Mikuska331111113
F. Briza10
WSep 13 · 24:30M. Kolar1.4491030F. Briza2.631112113WSep 12 · 23:30M. Placek1.578116111F. Briza2.2511511133WSep 12 · 22:30F. Briza1.73571113113A. Svoboda2.00111161162LSep 12 · 20:58M. Placek1.5012119113F. Briza2.501081181LSep 12 · 20:30F. Briza2.108890M. Placek1.671111113LSep 12 · 19:00F. Briza2.63511461F. Jungman1.4411611113LSep 12 · 18:00P. Fojt1.5351111113F. Briza2.38119761LSep 11 · 03:30K. Darin2.20131011113F. Briza1.601112941WSep 11 · 02:00F. Briza1.73111114123T. Regner2.007516101LSep 11 · 01:00F. Briza1.91841171K. Darin1.8011119113
A. Mikuska10
WSep 13 · 02:30A. Mikuska1.571081111113M. Placek2.2512116962LSep 13 · 24:00A. Mikuska1.4013871182A. Svoboda2.751111117113LSep 12 · 23:00M. Kolar2.2011118113A. Mikuska1.61271151WSep 3 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.95891111113K. Darin1.7511118642LSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:30K. Darin2.3831171192A. Mikuska1.53119114113LSep 2 · 23:30D. Parhomenko1.57881111113A. Mikuska2.2511117982WSep 2 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.361111113J. Jnr3.005960WAug 1 · 03:30T. Dousa1.5388111182A. Mikuska2.35111168113WAug 1 · 02:30A. Mikuska1.571111811113M. Placek2.2589111322
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