TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115081
Played Sep 12Finished
Milan Kolar
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
112117811115––
Alexander Mikuska
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:06 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeAlexander Mikuska to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMilan Kolar above · Alexander Mikuska below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 66 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Alexander Mikuska at 61.2%
66 points played in total.
H2H Milan Kolar 8–11 Alexander Mikuska Milan Kolar has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Mikuska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-11 in 19
Mikuska
Wrong
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolar 1515 vs Mikuska 1566
Mikuska
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolar 40% vs Mikuska 60%
Mikuska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolar 50% vs Mikuska 70%
Mikuska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolar -2 · Mikuska +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Mikuska) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolar 2.20 / Mikuska 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Mikuska)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115081
Kolar2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 91 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Mikuska1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 41 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolar3wins
AwayMikuska7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMikuska leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolar66.7%2 of 3
AwayMikuska85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolar3Mikuska7n = 10Mikuska took 7 of 10
S2Kolar5Mikuska5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolar4Mikuska6n = 10Mikuska took 6 of 10
S4Kolar0Mikuska8n = 8Mikuska took 8 of 8
S5Kolar3Mikuska1n = 4Kolar took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolarMikuskaK − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.841.2−5.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolarMikuskaBasisWin rate · lifetime404 / 805 vs 127 / 24250.2%52.5%404 / 805 vs 127 / 242Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MikuskaKolar 2.20/Mikuska 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Mikuska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 5 · 03:30M. Kolar491310115102A. Mikuska511112511123
WJul 5 · 02:30M. Kolar559111212113A. Mikuska42111101462
LJun 27 · 23:00M. Kolar157620A. Mikuska331111113
LJun 26 · 01:30M. Kolar341081151A. Mikuska3912115113
WJun 15 · 23:00M. Kolar501111107113A. Mikuska3967121132
LJun 11 · 24:30M. Kolar185490A. Mikuska331111113
LMay 23 · 23:00M. Kolar30713911A. Mikuska44111111113
LMay 1 · 23:00M. Kolar30771151A. Mikuska4111118113
WApr 11 · 03:28M. Kolar43111155113A. Mikuska4596111182
LApr 11 · 02:00M. Kolar347121141A. Mikuska45111013113
M. Kolar10
LSep 12 · 22:00M. Placek1.831111113M. Kolar1.838870LSep 12 · 17:29M. Kolar1.3671151172A. Svoboda3.00113118113WSep 12 · 16:30M. Fisera2.754690M. Kolar1.401111113LSep 12 · 15:30M. Kolar1.53164981F. Jungman2.38141111113WSep 12 · 14:30A. Svoboda2.38411891M. Kolar1.5311511113LSep 10 · 17:30M. Kolar2.758590M. Vedmoch1.401111113LSep 10 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.40511712113M. Kolar2.75117111042WSep 10 · 15:00M. Sedlak1.5061030M. Kolar2.501112113WSep 10 · 14:30M. Kolar2.501181011113T. Dousa1.5081112372WSep 10 · 13:00M. Kolar1.611111113J. Dedek2.207890
A. Mikuska10
WSep 3 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.95891111113K. Darin1.7511118642LSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:30K. Darin2.3831171192A. Mikuska1.53119114113LSep 2 · 23:30D. Parhomenko1.57881111113A. Mikuska2.2511117982WSep 2 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.361111113J. Jnr3.005960WAug 1 · 03:30T. Dousa1.5388111182A. Mikuska2.35111168113WAug 1 · 02:30A. Mikuska1.571111811113M. Placek2.2589111322LAug 1 · 01:30J. Dedek1.53111111113A. Mikuska2.38213141WAug 1 · 24:00A. Mikuska2.0011115113T. Dousa1.73851181WJul 31 · 23:00K. Darin2.0011911862A. Mikuska1.73411711113
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