TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13126057
Played Sep 14Finished
Jan Steffan
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
121411620189111416
Adam Svoboda
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 20-18
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 14-16
Point 131 set 5, 14-16 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 54.0%
131 points played in total.
H2H Jan Steffan 8–6 Adam Svoboda Adam Svoboda has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:45What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Steffan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-6 in 14
Steffan
Wrong
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Steffan 1423 vs Svoboda 1502
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Steffan 60% vs Svoboda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Steffan 50% vs Svoboda 70%
Svoboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Steffan +2 · Svoboda +3
Svoboda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 1.80 / Svoboda 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Svoboda)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13126057
Steffan1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 120 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it90% 62 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it79% 95 of 121
Svoboda1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 40 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back17% 10 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSteffan6wins
AwaySvoboda4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSteffan leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSteffan83.3%5 of 6
AwaySvoboda75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Steffan6Svoboda4n = 10Steffan took 6 of 10
S2Steffan8Svoboda2n = 10Steffan took 8 of 10
S3Steffan8Svoboda2n = 10Steffan took 8 of 10
S4Steffan2Svoboda5n = 7Svoboda took 5 of 7
S5Steffan1Svoboda3n = 4Svoboda took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSteffanSvobodaSteffan − SvobodaBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.135.3+3.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime465 / 973 vs 168 / 31847.8%52.8%465 / 973 vs 168 / 318Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSteffan 1.80/Svoboda 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 10:30J. Steffan4111116852A. Svoboda42271111113
LSep 11 · 06:00J. Steffan4471112952A. Svoboda501171011113
WJun 20 · 03:29J. Steffan45512116113A. Svoboda41111031162
WJun 20 · 24:00J. Steffan331111113A. Svoboda198650
LMay 23 · 24:00J. Steffan34681191A. Svoboda4111118113
WMay 9 · 03:28J. Steffan331111113A. Svoboda175570
WMay 9 · 02:30J. Steffan3811115113A. Svoboda33781171
LApr 18 · 02:30J. Steffan4151111682A. Svoboda51119911113
WApr 3 · 23:30J. Steffan411316123A. Svoboda351114100
WMar 20 · 23:30J. Steffan4111811113A. Svoboda24411361
J. Steffan10
WSep 14 · 11:30K. Darin1.61281281J. Steffan2.20111110113WSep 14 · 10:00J. Steffan1.7391111113V. Pecka2.00113741LSep 11 · 12:59J. Steffan1.9139111142M. Svedik1.80111179113WSep 11 · 12:30M. Svedik1.6111460J. Steffan2.201311113LSep 11 · 11:30J. Steffan2.63128721J. Dedek1.44101111113LSep 11 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.00271111113J. Steffan1.7311116852LSep 11 · 09:30T. Andrle1.90871111113J. Steffan1.8011118962WSep 11 · 08:30J. Steffan1.83611612123T. Andrle1.831181110102WSep 11 · 07:00J. Steffan2.20131112113O. Fejtek1.611191491LSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda2.201171011113J. Steffan1.6171112952
A. Svoboda10
WSep 14 · 11:00V. Pecka2.0081060A. Svoboda1.731112113WSep 14 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.63117311113K. Darin1.4491111792WSep 14 · 09:00M. Stefek2.008730A. Svoboda1.731111113LSep 14 · 08:00K. Darin1.531111113A. Svoboda2.387380LSep 14 · 07:00M. Stefek2.25111111113A. Svoboda1.57413751LSep 14 · 06:30A. Svoboda1.7311134442J. Jnr2.007111111113WSep 13 · 03:29A. Svoboda1.7351111113F. Briza2.00113471WSep 13 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.9112119113M. Kolar1.801071181WSep 11 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.00271111113J. Steffan1.7311116852WSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda2.201171011113J. Steffan1.6171112952
Upcoming Matches
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A. Svoboda
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