TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124465
Played Sep 14Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117113118––––
Adam Svoboda
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:43 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 51 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 61.8%
51 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 11–2 Adam Svoboda Adam Svoboda has won 2 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:43What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Darin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-2 in 13
Darin
Correct
gap of 9 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1435 vs Svoboda 1506
Svoboda
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 40% vs Svoboda 60%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 40% vs Svoboda 70%
Svoboda
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin -1 · Svoboda -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.53 / Svoboda 2.38
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Svoboda)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124465
Darin1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 153 of 267
Up 2–0, closes it93% 78 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it76% 106 of 140
Svoboda2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 40 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back17% 10 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin8wins
AwaySvoboda2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin75%6 of 8
AwaySvobodan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin8Svoboda2n = 10Darin took 8 of 10
S2Darin5Svoboda5n = 10split evenly
S3Darin6Svoboda4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S4Darin6Svoboda2n = 8Darin took 6 of 8
S5Darin3Svoboda2n = 5Darin took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinSvobodaD − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match44.641.0+3.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime753 / 1547 vs 165 / 31448.7%52.6%753 / 1547 vs 165 / 314Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDarin 1.53/Svoboda 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.6%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 16 · 15:30K. Darin45111310113A. Svoboda387111281
LJul 16 · 11:30K. Darin45113118122A. Svoboda52811811143
WJul 14 · 02:30K. Darin4113611113A. Svoboda361111771
WJul 11 · 01:00K. Darin551311118123A. Svoboda521171311102
WMay 23 · 01:00K. Darin351113113A. Svoboda2351170
WApr 24 · 22:00K. Darin50118812113A. Svoboda46911111052
WFeb 20 · 23:30K. Darin52971411113A. Svoboda51111112982
WDec 30 · 04:30K. Darin331111113A. Svoboda248880
WDec 30 · 03:30K. Darin4491311113A. Svoboda361111861
LDec 14 · 02:30K. Darin46117131142A. Svoboda52611159113
K. Darin10
WSep 14 · 09:30J. Jnr1.90971161K. Darin1.8011115113LSep 14 · 07:30J. Jnr2.101111113K. Darin1.679960WSep 14 · 06:00K. Darin1.44911911133M. Stefek2.63117112112LSep 13 · 13:05F. Jungman1.55111199113K. Darin2.3077111152WSep 13 · 12:30J. Prokupek1.5015661192K. Darin2.501311111113LSep 13 · 11:30K. Darin3.5010960T. Vinter1.281211113LSep 13 · 10:30F. Jungman1.7311116113K. Darin2.00851141WSep 11 · 20:58K. Darin1.911310911113T. Kolenic1.80111211542WSep 11 · 20:30K. Darin2.20611115113T. Kolenic1.6111651162LSep 11 · 19:00K. Darin1.808870K. Novak1.911111113
A. Svoboda10
WSep 14 · 09:00M. Stefek2.008730A. Svoboda1.731111113LSep 14 · 07:00M. Stefek2.25111111113A. Svoboda1.57413751LSep 14 · 06:30A. Svoboda1.7311134442J. Jnr2.007111111113WSep 13 · 03:29A. Svoboda1.7351111113F. Briza2.00113471WSep 13 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.9112119113M. Kolar1.801071181WSep 13 · 01:00A. Svoboda2.101211113M. Placek1.6710890WSep 13 · 24:00A. Mikuska1.4013871182A. Svoboda2.751111117113LSep 12 · 22:30F. Briza1.73571113113A. Svoboda2.00111161162WSep 12 · 17:29M. Kolar1.3671151172A. Svoboda3.00113118113WSep 12 · 16:00F. Jungman1.679211111A. Svoboda2.1011119133
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