TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124466
Played Sep 14Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111179111121311
Martin Stefek
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:44 and never touched — 65.4% is still 65.4%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
65.4%
65.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 95 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 65.4%
95 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 4–1 Martin Stefek Martin Stefek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:44What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Darin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Darin
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1448 vs Stefek 1330
Darin
Correct
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 40% vs Stefek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 50% vs Stefek 30%
Darin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin -1 · Stefek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.44 / Stefek 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Darin)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124466
Darin1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 153 of 267
Up 2–0, closes it93% 78 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it76% 106 of 140
Stefek2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 176 of 413
Down 0–1, comes back22% 50 of 227
Down 0–2, comes back7% 10 of 135
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDarin4wins
AwayStefek1wins
3 of 5 to a deciderDarin leads 4–1, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin100%3 of 3
AwayStefekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin3Stefek2n = 5Darin took 3 of 5
S2Darin3Stefek2n = 5Darin took 3 of 5
S3Darin2Stefek3n = 5Stefek took 3 of 5
S4Darin4Stefek1n = 5Darin took 4 of 5
S5Darin2Stefek1n = 3Darin took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricDarinStefekD − SBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match48.841.8+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime753 / 1546 vs 582 / 122548.7%47.5%753 / 1546 vs 582 / 1225Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDarin 1.44/Stefek 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 14 · 06:00K. Darin53911911133M. Stefek42117112112
WSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin48111214113M. Stefek352101671
LSep 7 · 06:00K. Darin4671112792M. Stefek511181011113
WFeb 17 · 10:05K. Darin45131011113M. Stefek361112581
WFeb 17 · 09:00K. Darin52118811143M. Stefek45811113122
K. Darin10
LSep 13 · 13:05F. Jungman1.55111199113K. Darin2.3077111152WSep 13 · 12:30J. Prokupek1.5015661192K. Darin2.501311111113LSep 13 · 11:30K. Darin3.5010960T. Vinter1.281211113LSep 13 · 10:30F. Jungman1.7311116113K. Darin2.00851141WSep 11 · 20:58K. Darin1.911310911113T. Kolenic1.80111211542WSep 11 · 20:30K. Darin2.20611115113T. Kolenic1.6111651162LSep 11 · 19:00K. Darin1.808870K. Novak1.911111113LSep 11 · 18:00L. Krok1.80911116113K. Darin1.9111761192WSep 11 · 03:30K. Darin2.20131011113F. Briza1.601112941WSep 11 · 02:30R. Bartunek2.6371240K. Darin1.441114113
M. Stefek10
WSep 13 · 13:00M. Stefek1.90101111113M. Ulrych1.80123851LSep 13 · 12:00M. Ulrych1.6111127113M. Stefek2.209101181LSep 13 · 11:00V. Dolezal1.4411611113M. Stefek2.63911361WSep 13 · 10:30M. Stefek2.50119116113D. Barton1.5041191182LSep 13 · 09:07M. Stefek10.0043111632V. Dolezal1.031111914113LSep 13 · 08:30M. Stefek2.75411118132V. Dolezal1.40115511153LSep 13 · 07:00M. Stefek4.50138941D. Horak1.17111111113WSep 13 · 06:00D. Barton1.3087130M. Stefek3.401111153LSep 12 · 02:00M. Stefek1.91741251M. Ulrych1.80111110113LSep 12 · 01:00M. Stefek2.63134371V. Dolezal1.44111111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Darin
M. Stefek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.