TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124229
Played Sep 13Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
10.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4113111191614311
Vaclav Dolezal
Away
1.03
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 16-14
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 93 set 5, 3-11
93 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 18–40 Vaclav Dolezal Martin Stefek has won 18 of their 58 meetings.
Signal confidence: 92% — Strong (leans Dolezal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (20%) is below what odds imply (97%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 10.00 / Dolezal 1.03
Signal prob.8% / 92%
Edge (Dolezal)+1.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124229
Stefek10.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 175 of 408
Down 0–1, comes back22% 49 of 223
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 134
Dolezal1.03
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 132 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it96% 63 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it82% 97 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStefek2wins
AwayDolezal8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefek40%2 of 5
AwayDolezal100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek5Dolezal5n = 10split evenly
S2Stefek2Dolezal8n = 10Dolezal took 8 of 10
S3Stefek4Dolezal6n = 10Dolezal took 6 of 10
S4Stefek2Dolezal6n = 8Dolezal took 6 of 8
S5Stefek1Dolezal2n = 3Dolezal took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStefekDolezalS − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.741.3−6.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime580 / 1218 vs 379 / 77147.6%49.2%580 / 1218 vs 379 / 771Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalStefek 10.00/Dolezal 1.03
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
92.4%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 08:30M. Stefek47411118132V. Dolezal47115511153
LSep 12 · 01:00M. Stefek27134371V. Dolezal44111111113
LSep 10 · 13:30M. Stefek186750V. Dolezal331111113
LSep 10 · 10:30M. Stefek175930V. Dolezal331111113
LSep 10 · 07:30M. Stefek34791171V. Dolezal4111118113
LSep 9 · 07:00M. Stefek45116117102V. Dolezal46411811123
LSep 8 · 03:30M. Stefek31471191V. Dolezal4011117113
WSep 8 · 02:00M. Stefek45111111123V. Dolezal364913101
LSep 5 · 01:30M. Stefek30115681V. Dolezal4291111113
WSep 4 · 20:30M. Stefek531191011123V. Dolezal51911129102
M. Stefek10
LSep 13 · 08:30M. Stefek2.75411118132V. Dolezal1.40115511153LSep 13 · 07:00M. Stefek4.50138941D. Horak1.17111111113WSep 13 · 06:00D. Barton1.3087130M. Stefek3.401111153LSep 12 · 02:00M. Stefek1.91741251M. Ulrych1.80111110113LSep 12 · 01:00M. Stefek2.63134371V. Dolezal1.44111111113LSep 12 · 24:00R. Urban1.571111113M. Stefek2.258780LSep 11 · 22:30J. Didi1.73881112113M. Stefek2.00111181052LSep 11 · 09:30M. Stefek1.65124130Z. Zikmunda2.101411153WSep 11 · 08:00M. Stefek1.8311411113J. Pleskot1.83411881WSep 11 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.2511712652M. Stefek1.577111011113
V. Dolezal10
WSep 13 · 08:30M. Stefek2.75411118132V. Dolezal1.40115511153LSep 13 · 07:30V. Dolezal2.389141351D. Barton1.53111611113LSep 13 · 06:30D. Horak1.2891111113V. Dolezal3.50113861LSep 12 · 02:58R. Urban1.5371111113V. Dolezal2.38118981LSep 12 · 02:30R. Urban1.731111143V. Dolezal2.0084120WSep 12 · 01:00M. Stefek2.63134371V. Dolezal1.44111111113LSep 11 · 23:30V. Dolezal1.805790J. Didi1.911111113WSep 11 · 22:00V. Dolezal1.801215911113M. Ulrych1.91101711842WSep 10 · 13:30V. Dolezal1.481111113M. Stefek2.456750LSep 10 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.61111107113V. Dolezal2.2089111152
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