TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120279
Played Sep 13Finished
David Barton
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8117111315––––
Martin Stefek
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:46 and never touched — 73.9% is still 73.9%
Graded at full timeDavid Barton to win
73.9%
73.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Barton above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 65 set 3, 13-15 — our read held David Barton at 73.9%
65 points played in total.
H2H David Barton 6–1 Martin Stefek Martin Stefek has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:46What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Barton
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Barton
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1367 vs Stefek 1360
Barton
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 40% vs Stefek 0%
Barton
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 40% vs Stefek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton -2 · Stefek -5
Stefek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Barton)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 1.30 / Stefek 3.40
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Barton)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120279
Barton1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 36 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it72% 23 of 32
Stefek3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 175 of 408
Down 0–1, comes back22% 49 of 223
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBarton6wins
AwayStefek1wins
2 of 7 to a deciderBarton leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarton100%4 of 4
AwayStefek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton4Stefek3n = 7Barton took 4 of 7
S2Barton5Stefek2n = 7Barton took 5 of 7
S3Barton5Stefek2n = 7Barton took 5 of 7
S4Barton2Stefek1n = 3Barton took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricBartonStefekB − SBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match39.030.6+8.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 256 vs 580 / 121750.8%47.7%130 / 256 vs 580 / 1217Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartonBarton 1.30/Stefek 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.9%
Barton · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 13 · 06:00D. Barton2887130M. Stefek371111153
WJul 4 · 14:00D. Barton511251112113M. Stefek47101151472
WApr 25 · 08:59D. Barton331111113M. Stefek179260
WApr 25 · 08:00D. Barton351111133M. Stefek2348110
WFeb 15 · 09:00D. Barton331111113M. Stefek186750
WFeb 14 · 18:02D. Barton51813811113M. Stefek45111111662
WFeb 14 · 17:00D. Barton4291111113M. Stefek27115291
D. Barton10
LAug 20 · 02:58T. Regner1.83125911123D. Barton1.831011115102LAug 20 · 02:00D. Barton1.611311119102T. Regner2.20155811123WAug 20 · 01:00D. Barton1.611111123V. Dolezal2.2098100LAug 20 · 24:00J. Didi1.831411113D. Barton1.8312780WAug 19 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.5013880D. Barton2.501511113LAug 18 · 15:59D. Barton2.2541330T. Prosa1.57111573WAug 16 · 08:59M. Tacinec2.0010970D. Barton1.731211113LAug 16 · 08:30D. Barton2.75631191V. Nohejl1.4011119113WAug 16 · 07:00D. Barton1.737111110113M. Tacinec2.0011531292LAug 16 · 06:00J. Didi2.501111133D. Barton1.5072110
M. Stefek10
LSep 12 · 02:00M. Stefek1.91741251M. Ulrych1.80111110113LSep 12 · 01:00M. Stefek2.63134371V. Dolezal1.44111111113LSep 12 · 24:00R. Urban1.571111113M. Stefek2.258780LSep 11 · 22:30J. Didi1.73881112113M. Stefek2.00111181052LSep 11 · 09:30M. Stefek1.65124130Z. Zikmunda2.101411153WSep 11 · 08:00M. Stefek1.8311411113J. Pleskot1.83411881WSep 11 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.2511712652M. Stefek1.577111011113LSep 11 · 06:00M. Stefek1.80811115112L. Sulava1.91118911133LSep 10 · 13:30V. Dolezal1.481111113M. Stefek2.456750WSep 10 · 12:00A. Svoboda1.5310101111102M. Stefek2.38121267123
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