TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119957
Played Sep 13Finished
Vaclav Dolezal
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91114161311511––
David Barton
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Barton to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · David Barton below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 90 set 4, 5-11 — our read held David Barton at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 2–4 David Barton Vaclav Dolezal has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Barton
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Barton
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1357 vs Barton 1379
Barton
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 20% vs Barton 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 50% vs Barton 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal -3 · Barton -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Barton) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 2.38 / Barton 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Barton)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119957
Dolezal2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 33 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back21% 14 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 44
Barton1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 36 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it72% 23 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeDolezal2wins
AwayBarton4wins
3 of 6 to a deciderBarton leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezaln = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBarton66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal0Barton6n = 6Barton took 6 of 6
S2Dolezal2Barton4n = 6Barton took 4 of 6
S3Dolezal3Barton3n = 6split evenly
S4Dolezal3Barton2n = 5Dolezal took 3 of 5
S5Dolezal2Barton1n = 3Dolezal took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricDolezalBartonD − BBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set06−6of 6Avg pointsper match41.844.7−2.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime379 / 771 vs 131 / 25749.2%51%379 / 771 vs 131 / 257Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartonDolezal 2.38/Barton 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Barton · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 13 · 07:30V. Dolezal419141351D. Barton49111611113
LAug 20 · 01:00V. Dolezal2798100D. Barton341111123
WMar 8 · 11:30V. Dolezal527121111113D. Barton4211144942
LMar 8 · 07:00V. Dolezal4010911101D. Barton4212117123
LDec 7 · 07:30V. Dolezal4281141182D. Barton50118119113
WNov 23 · 09:00V. Dolezal491011412123D. Barton511281110102
V. Dolezal10
LSep 13 · 06:30D. Horak1.2891111113V. Dolezal3.50113861LSep 12 · 02:58R. Urban1.5371111113V. Dolezal2.38118981LSep 12 · 02:30R. Urban1.731111143V. Dolezal2.0084120WSep 12 · 01:00M. Stefek2.63134371V. Dolezal1.44111111113LSep 11 · 23:30V. Dolezal1.805790J. Didi1.911111113WSep 11 · 22:00V. Dolezal1.801215911113M. Ulrych1.91101711842WSep 10 · 13:30V. Dolezal1.481111113M. Stefek2.456750LSep 10 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.61111107113V. Dolezal2.2089111152WSep 10 · 11:30V. Dolezal2.50811115133A. Svoboda1.50119511112WSep 10 · 10:30M. Stefek2.255930V. Dolezal1.571111113
D. Barton10
LSep 13 · 06:00D. Barton1.3087130M. Stefek3.401111153LAug 20 · 02:58T. Regner1.83125911123D. Barton1.831011115102LAug 20 · 02:00D. Barton1.611311119102T. Regner2.20155811123WAug 20 · 01:00D. Barton1.611111123V. Dolezal2.2098100LAug 20 · 24:00J. Didi1.831411113D. Barton1.8312780WAug 19 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.5013880D. Barton2.501511113LAug 18 · 15:59D. Barton2.2541330T. Prosa1.57111573WAug 16 · 08:59M. Tacinec2.0010970D. Barton1.731211113LAug 16 · 08:30D. Barton2.75631191V. Nohejl1.4011119113WAug 16 · 07:00D. Barton1.737111110113M. Tacinec2.0011531292
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