TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124867
Played Sep 13Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012113118115––
Martin Ulrych
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Martin Ulrych below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 71 set 4, 11-5
71 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 4–4 Martin Ulrych Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Ulrych beat Stefek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ulrych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 1.90 / Ulrych 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ulrych)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124867
Stefek1.90
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 175 of 408
Down 0–1, comes back22% 49 of 223
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 134
Ulrych1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 43 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it86% 30 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeStefek4wins
AwayUlrych4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefek75%3 of 4
AwayUlrych75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek4Ulrych4n = 8split evenly
S2Stefek5Ulrych3n = 8Stefek took 5 of 8
S3Stefek5Ulrych3n = 8Stefek took 5 of 8
S4Stefek2Ulrych4n = 6Ulrych took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricStefekUlrychS − UBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match38.138.9−0.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekUlrychBasisWin rate · lifetime581 / 1223 vs 98 / 16147.5%60.9%581 / 1223 vs 98 / 161Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UlrychStefek 1.90/Ulrych 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.2%
Ulrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 13 · 12:00M. Stefek389101181M. Ulrych4111127113
LSep 12 · 02:00M. Stefek28741251M. Ulrych43111110113
WJul 7 · 23:30M. Stefek4281112113M. Ulrych381191081
WJun 19 · 15:30M. Stefek331111113M. Ulrych188460
LJun 16 · 16:30M. Stefek351361331M. Ulrych48111115113
LMay 12 · 02:58M. Stefek4181161242M. Ulrych511181110113
WMay 11 · 22:00M. Stefek55121299133M. Ulrych5310101111112
WApr 29 · 02:00M. Stefek331111113M. Ulrych193970
M. Stefek10
LSep 13 · 12:00M. Ulrych1.6111127113M. Stefek2.209101181LSep 13 · 11:00V. Dolezal1.4411611113M. Stefek2.63911361WSep 13 · 10:30M. Stefek2.50119116113D. Barton1.5041191182LSep 13 · 09:07M. Stefek10.0043111632V. Dolezal1.031111914113LSep 13 · 08:30M. Stefek2.75411118132V. Dolezal1.40115511153LSep 13 · 07:00M. Stefek4.50138941D. Horak1.17111111113WSep 13 · 06:00D. Barton1.3087130M. Stefek3.401111153LSep 12 · 02:00M. Stefek1.91741251M. Ulrych1.80111110113LSep 12 · 01:00M. Stefek2.63134371V. Dolezal1.44111111113LSep 12 · 24:00R. Urban1.571111113M. Stefek2.258780
M. Ulrych10
WSep 13 · 12:00M. Ulrych1.6111127113M. Stefek2.209101181LSep 13 · 11:30D. Barton1.801111133M. Ulrych1.9117110LSep 13 · 10:00M. Ulrych2.007370V. Dolezal1.731111113WSep 12 · 03:28M. Ulrych1.36891111113J. Didi3.0011116892WSep 12 · 02:00M. Stefek1.91741251M. Ulrych1.80111110113WSep 12 · 24:30M. Ulrych1.4011311113J. Didi2.75411841WSep 11 · 23:00M. Ulrych2.381311113R. Urban1.5311590LSep 11 · 22:00V. Dolezal1.801215911113M. Ulrych1.91101711842WSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.