TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119840
Played Sep 13Finished
Martin Ulrych
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711311711––––
Vaclav Dolezal
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:33 and never touched — 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timeMartin Ulrych to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Ulrych above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 50 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Martin Ulrych at 61.4%
50 points played in total.
H2H Martin Ulrych 0–1 Vaclav Dolezal Martin Ulrych has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:33What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dolezal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ulrych 1509 vs Dolezal 1387
Ulrych
Wrong
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ulrych 80% vs Dolezal 40%
Ulrych
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ulrych 90% vs Dolezal 50%
Ulrych
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ulrych +4 · Dolezal +2
Ulrych
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ulrych) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUlrych 2.00 / Dolezal 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ulrych)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119840
Ulrych2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 16 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Dolezal1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 132 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it96% 63 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it82% 97 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeUlrych0wins
AwayDolezal1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderDolezal leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricUlrychDolezalU − DBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match50.058.0−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUlrychDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 158 vs 381 / 77361.4%49.3%97 / 158 vs 381 / 773Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UlrychUlrych 2.00/Dolezal 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ulrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 11 · 22:00M. Ulrych50101711842V. Dolezal581215911113
M. Ulrych10
WSep 12 · 03:28M. Ulrych1.36891111113J. Didi3.0011116892WSep 12 · 02:00M. Stefek1.91741251M. Ulrych1.80111110113WSep 12 · 24:30M. Ulrych1.4011311113J. Didi2.75411841WSep 11 · 23:00M. Ulrych2.381311113R. Urban1.5311590LSep 11 · 22:00V. Dolezal1.801215911113M. Ulrych1.91101711842WSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651WSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:30P. Berdych1.9181160M. Ulrych1.801113113WSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580
V. Dolezal10
WSep 13 · 09:07M. Stefek10.0043111632V. Dolezal1.031111914113WSep 13 · 08:30M. Stefek2.75411118132V. Dolezal1.40115511153LSep 13 · 07:30V. Dolezal2.389141351D. Barton1.53111611113LSep 13 · 06:30D. Horak1.2891111113V. Dolezal3.50113861LSep 12 · 02:58R. Urban1.5371111113V. Dolezal2.38118981LSep 12 · 02:30R. Urban1.731111143V. Dolezal2.0084120WSep 12 · 01:00M. Stefek2.63134371V. Dolezal1.44111111113LSep 11 · 23:30V. Dolezal1.805790J. Didi1.911111113WSep 11 · 22:00V. Dolezal1.801215911113M. Ulrych1.91101711842WSep 10 · 13:30V. Dolezal1.481111113M. Stefek2.456750
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