TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124467
Played Sep 14Finished
Jan Varcl Jnr
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119116––––
Kyryl Darin
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:43 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Varcl Jnr above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 57 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 56.4%
57 points played in total.
H2H Jan Varcl Jnr 19–15 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:43What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Darin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-15 in 34
Jnr
Correct
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jnr 1488 vs Darin 1435
Jnr
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jnr 20% vs Darin 40%
Darin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jnr 30% vs Darin 50%
Darin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jnr +1 · Darin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 2.10 / Darin 1.67
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Darin)-0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124467
Jnr2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 16 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back15% 3 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Darin1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 153 of 267
Up 2–0, closes it93% 78 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it76% 106 of 140
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJnr5wins
AwayDarin5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJnr80%4 of 5
AwayDarin80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jnr5Darin5n = 10split evenly
S2Jnr4Darin6n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S3Jnr5Darin5n = 10split evenly
S4Jnr4Darin4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJnrDarinJ − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.140.6−2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 240 vs 753 / 154750.8%48.7%122 / 240 vs 753 / 1547Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinJnr 2.10/Darin 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.4%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 07:30J. Jnr331111113K. Darin249960
LSep 8 · 20:30J. Jnr398131081K. Darin45111112113
LSep 3 · 02:00J. Jnr351111581K. Darin4271311113
WAug 31 · 22:00J. Jnr4011117113K. Darin37991181
WAug 26 · 07:00J. Jnr4514512143K. Darin45121110121
LAug 18 · 21:00J. Jnr219570K. Darin331111113
LAug 18 · 18:00J. Jnr381016661K. Darin48121411113
WJul 2 · 02:00J. Jnr46111111133K. Darin409137111
LApr 29 · 22:30J. Jnr30561181K. Darin4111118113
WApr 21 · 06:00J. Jnr541091113113K. Darin51121191182
J. Jnr10
WSep 14 · 06:30A. Svoboda1.7311134442J. Jnr2.007111111113LSep 10 · 20:58Y. Holovatiuk1.831111113J. Jnr1.839890LSep 10 · 20:00J. Jnr1.6188120Y. Holovatiuk2.201111143LSep 10 · 19:30L. Krok1.611261011113J. Jnr2.20101112892LSep 10 · 18:00J. Jnr2.20681141J. Prokupek1.6111117113WSep 8 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.834980J. Jnr1.831111113LSep 8 · 20:30J. Jnr2.008131081K. Darin1.73111112113LSep 8 · 19:00J. Jnr1.734160Y. Holovatiuk2.001111113WSep 8 · 18:00L. Krok1.4411771382J. Jnr2.634111111113LSep 3 · 02:00J. Jnr1.911111581K. Darin1.8071311113
K. Darin10
WSep 14 · 06:00K. Darin1.44911911133M. Stefek2.63117112112LSep 13 · 13:05F. Jungman1.55111199113K. Darin2.3077111152WSep 13 · 12:30J. Prokupek1.5015661192K. Darin2.501311111113LSep 13 · 11:30K. Darin3.5010960T. Vinter1.281211113LSep 13 · 10:30F. Jungman1.7311116113K. Darin2.00851141WSep 11 · 20:58K. Darin1.911310911113T. Kolenic1.80111211542WSep 11 · 20:30K. Darin2.20611115113T. Kolenic1.6111651162LSep 11 · 19:00K. Darin1.808870K. Novak1.911111113WSep 8 · 20:30J. Jnr2.008131081K. Darin1.73111112113WSep 3 · 02:00J. Jnr1.911111581K. Darin1.8071311113
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