TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124716
Played Sep 14Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171311411411411
Jan Varcl Jnr
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:21 and never touched — 69.4% is still 69.4%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
69.4%
69.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Jan Varcl Jnr below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 87 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 69.4%
87 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 0–1 Jan Varcl Jnr Adam Svoboda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:21What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Svoboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1541 vs Jnr 1476
Svoboda
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 80% vs Jnr 20%
Svoboda
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 70% vs Jnr 20%
Svoboda
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda +4 · Jnr -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Svoboda) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.73 / Jnr 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Svoboda)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124716
Svoboda1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 61 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it90% 44 of 49
Jnr2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 16 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back15% 3 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSvoboda0wins
AwayJnr1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderJnr leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSvobodaJnrS − JBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.051.0−15.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 313 vs 121 / 23952.7%50.6%165 / 313 vs 121 / 239Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.73/Jnr 2.00
Miss
What we said
56.5%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 14 · 06:30A. Svoboda3611134442J. Jnr517111111113
A. Svoboda10
WSep 13 · 03:29A. Svoboda1.7351111113F. Briza2.00113471WSep 13 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.9112119113M. Kolar1.801071181WSep 13 · 01:00A. Svoboda2.101211113M. Placek1.6710890WSep 13 · 24:00A. Mikuska1.4013871182A. Svoboda2.751111117113LSep 12 · 22:30F. Briza1.73571113113A. Svoboda2.00111161162WSep 12 · 17:29M. Kolar1.3671151172A. Svoboda3.00113118113WSep 12 · 16:00F. Jungman1.679211111A. Svoboda2.1011119133WSep 12 · 15:00M. Fisera2.5012813672A. Svoboda1.5010111111113LSep 12 · 14:30A. Svoboda2.38411891M. Kolar1.5311511113LSep 11 · 13:30J. Dedek1.431111113A. Svoboda2.607950
J. Jnr10
LSep 10 · 20:58Y. Holovatiuk1.831111113J. Jnr1.839890LSep 10 · 20:00J. Jnr1.6188120Y. Holovatiuk2.201111143LSep 10 · 19:30L. Krok1.611261011113J. Jnr2.20101112892LSep 10 · 18:00J. Jnr2.20681141J. Prokupek1.6111117113WSep 8 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.834980J. Jnr1.831111113LSep 8 · 20:30J. Jnr2.008131081K. Darin1.73111112113LSep 8 · 19:00J. Jnr1.734160Y. Holovatiuk2.001111113WSep 8 · 18:00L. Krok1.4411771382J. Jnr2.634111111113LSep 3 · 02:00J. Jnr1.911111581K. Darin1.8071311113LSep 3 · 01:00J. Jnr2.2081181242D. Parhomenko1.611151110113
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