TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135501
Played Sep 16Finished
Frantisek Briza
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191012116811811
Jiri Dedek
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:38 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 97 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 60.3%
97 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 8–27 Jiri Dedek Frantisek Briza has won 8 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Dedek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-27 in 35
Dedek
Correct
gap of 19 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Briza 1399 vs Dedek 1497
Dedek
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briza 20% vs Dedek 40%
Dedek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briza 40% vs Dedek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Briza -3 · Dedek -1
Briza
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Dedek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 3.40 / Dedek 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Dedek)+4.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135501
Briza3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 75 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Dedek1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 144 of 229
Up 2–0, closes it98% 82 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it81% 109 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBriza1wins
AwayDedek9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBriza20%1 of 5
AwayDedek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briza5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S2Briza2Dedek8n = 10Dedek took 8 of 10
S3Briza3Dedek7n = 10Dedek took 7 of 10
S4Briza3Dedek6n = 9Dedek took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrizaDedekB − DBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.740.7−5.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 823 vs 485 / 93645.7%51.8%376 / 823 vs 485 / 936Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekBriza 3.40/Dedek 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 11 · 03:30F. Briza28471161J. Dedek4111118113
LJun 11 · 24:00F. Briza3711111051J. Dedek3711312113
LMay 14 · 19:30F. Briza198560J. Dedek331111113
LApr 6 · 02:00F. Briza44116611102J. Dedek46811114123
LMar 21 · 15:00F. Briza43111061152J. Dedek52912119113
LMar 20 · 01:00F. Briza371188101J. Dedek3951111123
WMar 1 · 19:00F. Briza4211118123J. Dedek369611101
LFeb 27 · 22:30F. Briza398111281J. Dedek4111514113
LFeb 27 · 20:30F. Briza33771181J. Dedek4111118113
LJan 8 · 15:00F. Briza35781191J. Dedek4111118113
F. Briza10
LSep 16 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.8011611113F. Briza1.91611981LSep 16 · 14:30Y. Holovatiuk1.4471111113F. Briza2.63112961LSep 15 · 17:30P. Klusacek2.1011313113F. Briza1.658111181LSep 15 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.57881111113F. Briza2.2511119872WSep 15 · 15:30F. Briza1.91811115143A. Svoboda1.80115511122LSep 15 · 14:30P. Klusacek1.61811167113F. Briza2.20117141192LSep 13 · 03:29A. Svoboda1.7351111113F. Briza2.00113471LSep 13 · 01:30F. Briza2.6310121161A. Mikuska1.44121013113WSep 13 · 24:30M. Kolar1.4491030F. Briza2.631112113WSep 12 · 23:30M. Placek1.578116111F. Briza2.2511511133
J. Dedek10
LSep 16 · 16:00J. Dedek1.449390Y. Holovatiuk2.631111113LSep 16 · 14:00J. Dedek1.83971111102T. Kolenic1.83111177123WSep 14 · 21:00J. Dedek1.4411911113Y. Holovatiuk2.63511331WSep 14 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.914114101J. Dedek1.8011811123LSep 14 · 19:30J. Dedek1.4061141182Y. Holovatiuk2.75118117113LSep 14 · 18:30L. Krok2.751111118113J. Dedek1.4058131172LSep 14 · 02:58J. Dedek1.80711961J. Prokupek1.9111611113WSep 14 · 02:30V. Postelt1.3687111182J. Dedek3.00111144113LSep 14 · 01:00J. Plachy1.671111113J. Dedek2.104560WSep 13 · 23:30J. Dedek1.3611118113P. Fojt3.00671151
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