TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135500
Played Sep 16Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711112119116––
Frantisek Briza
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Briza to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Frantisek Briza below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 68 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Frantisek Briza at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 40–20 Frantisek Briza Frantisek Briza has won 20 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:38What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Holovatiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-20 in 60
Holovatiuk
Correct
gap of 20 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1466 vs Briza 1409
Holovatiuk
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 20% vs Briza 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 20% vs Briza 40%
Briza
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk -2 · Briza -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Holovatiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briza form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 1.44 / Briza 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135500
Holovatiuk1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite65% won 81 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it79% 54 of 68
Briza2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 75 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk6wins
AwayBriza4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiuk60%3 of 5
AwayBriza40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk5Briza5n = 10split evenly
S2Holovatiuk6Briza4n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S3Holovatiuk6Briza4n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S4Holovatiuk3Briza3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukBrizaH − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.232.8+3.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukBrizaBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 694 vs 379 / 82649.4%45.9%343 / 694 vs 379 / 826Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukHolovatiuk 1.44/Briza 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk49971111113F. Briza3811112952
WSep 2 · 15:00Y. Holovatiuk331111113F. Briza176650
LAug 28 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk381110981F. Briza4171211113
WAug 28 · 17:00Y. Holovatiuk4291111113F. Briza34117791
WAug 28 · 15:30Y. Holovatiuk341111123F. Briza2275100
WAug 26 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk331111113F. Briza166370
LAug 24 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk4615117131F. Briza5117811153
LJul 31 · 21:02Y. Holovatiuk171790F. Briza331111113
LJul 31 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk30115681F. Briza4071111113
WJul 31 · 15:30Y. Holovatiuk4051211123F. Briza3611105101
Y. Holovatiuk10
LSep 16 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.3851113113Y. Holovatiuk1.531171171LSep 15 · 21:28K. Darin1.801111711113Y. Holovatiuk1.9113911562LSep 15 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk2.006117111J. Prokupek1.7311911133WSep 15 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63101112113L. Krok1.441231071LSep 15 · 18:00K. Darin2.00119118113Y. Holovatiuk1.7391151172LSep 14 · 21:00J. Dedek1.4411911113Y. Holovatiuk2.63511331LSep 14 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63551191L. Krok1.4411113113WSep 14 · 19:30J. Dedek1.4061141182Y. Holovatiuk2.75118117113LSep 14 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk2.0051290J. Prokupek1.731114113LSep 12 · 03:00J. Dedek1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.632550
F. Briza10
LSep 16 · 15:30F. Briza3.40111011882J. Dedek1.30912611113LSep 15 · 17:30P. Klusacek2.1011313113F. Briza1.658111181LSep 15 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.57881111113F. Briza2.2511119872WSep 15 · 15:30F. Briza1.91811115143A. Svoboda1.80115511122LSep 15 · 14:30P. Klusacek1.61811167113F. Briza2.20117141192LSep 13 · 03:29A. Svoboda1.7351111113F. Briza2.00113471LSep 13 · 01:30F. Briza2.6310121161A. Mikuska1.44121013113WSep 13 · 24:30M. Kolar1.4491030F. Briza2.631112113WSep 12 · 23:30M. Placek1.578116111F. Briza2.2511511133WSep 12 · 22:30F. Briza1.73571113113A. Svoboda2.00111161162
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