TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13137104
Played Sep 15Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113119711115116
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 95 set 5, 11-6
95 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 38–40 Yurii Holovatiuk Kyryl Darin has won 38 of their 78 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Darin beat Holovatiuk 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Darin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.80 / Holovatiuk 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Darin)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13137104
Darin1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 156 of 273
Up 2–0, closes it93% 80 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it76% 108 of 142
Holovatiuk1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 58 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin4wins
AwayHolovatiuk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin60%3 of 5
AwayHolovatiuk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin5Holovatiuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Darin5Holovatiuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Darin3Holovatiuk7n = 10Holovatiuk took 7 of 10
S4Darin2Holovatiuk5n = 7Holovatiuk took 5 of 7
S5Darin2Holovatiuk1n = 3Darin took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinHolovatiukD − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.039.2−1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime761 / 1560 vs 343 / 69348.8%49.5%761 / 1560 vs 343 / 693Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDarin 1.80/Holovatiuk 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 18:00K. Darin50119118113Y. Holovatiuk4391151172
WSep 8 · 18:30K. Darin517111111113Y. Holovatiuk4911913792
LSep 5 · 21:00K. Darin4311912472Y. Holovatiuk518111011113
LSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin29316100Y. Holovatiuk411118123
LSep 5 · 03:28K. Darin320118131Y. Holovatiuk4211511153
LSep 5 · 24:00K. Darin361111591Y. Holovatiuk4313811113
LSep 4 · 14:00K. Darin381175151Y. Holovatiuk4781111173
WAug 31 · 23:00K. Darin3911116113Y. Holovatiuk24561121
WAug 28 · 14:00K. Darin331111113Y. Holovatiuk166550
LAug 26 · 19:00K. Darin2989120Y. Holovatiuk361111143
K. Darin10
WSep 15 · 20:00K. Darin2.005131211113L. Krok1.73111510932WSep 15 · 19:30J. Prokupek1.539370K. Darin2.381111113WSep 15 · 18:00K. Darin2.00119118113Y. Holovatiuk1.7391151172LSep 15 · 13:00J. Bresky1.53811126113K. Darin2.38119101172LSep 15 · 12:30K. Darin3.0010760P. Zmuda1.361211113LSep 15 · 11:00K. Darin2.759790M. Vesely1.401111113WSep 15 · 10:00J. Bresky1.40911481K. Darin2.7511411113WSep 14 · 13:00K. Darin1.83111110113V. Pecka1.83441281WSep 14 · 12:30V. Pecka1.837780K. Darin1.831111113LSep 14 · 11:30K. Darin1.61281281J. Steffan2.20111110113
Y. Holovatiuk10
LSep 15 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk2.006117111J. Prokupek1.7311911133WSep 15 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63101112113L. Krok1.441231071LSep 15 · 18:00K. Darin2.00119118113Y. Holovatiuk1.7391151172LSep 14 · 21:00J. Dedek1.4411911113Y. Holovatiuk2.63511331LSep 14 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63551191L. Krok1.4411113113WSep 14 · 19:30J. Dedek1.4061141182Y. Holovatiuk2.75118117113LSep 14 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk2.0051290J. Prokupek1.731114113LSep 12 · 03:00J. Dedek1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.632550LSep 12 · 02:00J. Plachy1.5711118113Y. Holovatiuk2.25471141LSep 12 · 24:30Y. Holovatiuk2.63121155122T. Dousa1.441041111143
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