TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135147
Played Sep 15Finished
Jaroslav Bresky
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111191210611117
Kyryl Darin
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Bresky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Bresky above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 96 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jaroslav Bresky at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Bresky 4–3 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:56What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bresky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bresky 1472 vs Darin 1476
Darin
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bresky 40% vs Darin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bresky 50% vs Darin 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bresky +1 · Darin -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Bresky) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bresky form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBresky 1.53 / Darin 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Bresky)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135147
Bresky1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 17 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Darin2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 178 of 444
Down 0–1, comes back19% 49 of 254
Down 0–2, comes back6% 9 of 160
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBresky4wins
AwayDarin3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderBresky leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBresky100%3 of 3
AwayDarin75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bresky3Darin4n = 7Darin took 4 of 7
S2Bresky6Darin1n = 7Bresky took 6 of 7
S3Bresky4Darin3n = 7Bresky took 4 of 7
S4Bresky3Darin2n = 5Bresky took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricBreskyDarinB − DBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match37.732.6+5.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBreskyDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 174 vs 757 / 155552.9%48.7%92 / 174 vs 757 / 1555Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BreskyBresky 1.53/Darin 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Bresky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bresky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 15 · 10:00J. Bresky32911481K. Darin3711411113
WAug 4 · 10:00J. Bresky4291111113K. Darin34117881
WJun 26 · 12:30J. Bresky331111113K. Darin174940
LJun 26 · 08:30J. Bresky38911991K. Darin4011711113
LJun 11 · 10:30J. Bresky42811211102K. Darin49117118123
WJun 11 · 07:30J. Bresky4011711113K. Darin25411461
WApr 15 · 14:00J. Bresky371111153K. Darin2667130
J. Bresky10
WSep 15 · 12:00J. Bresky2.20111155113M. Vesely1.6119111182LSep 15 · 11:30P. Zmuda1.5311127123J. Bresky2.3881011101LSep 15 · 10:00J. Bresky1.40911481K. Darin2.7511411113LAug 4 · 13:30J. Plachy1.80111111113J. Bresky1.90137471WAug 4 · 12:30J. Bresky1.331112113Y. Holovatiuk3.2581060LAug 4 · 11:00J. Bresky1.919970J. Plachy1.801111113WAug 4 · 10:00K. Darin2.50117881J. Bresky1.5091111113WAug 4 · 08:58J. Bresky1.36111112113Y. Holovatiuk3.00591491WAug 4 · 08:30J. Bresky1.3611118113Y. Holovatiuk3.00391131LAug 4 · 07:00J. Bresky1.911110881J. Plachy1.8081211113
K. Darin10
LSep 15 · 12:30K. Darin3.0010760P. Zmuda1.361211113LSep 15 · 11:00K. Darin2.759790M. Vesely1.401111113WSep 15 · 10:00J. Bresky1.40911481K. Darin2.7511411113WSep 14 · 13:00K. Darin1.83111110113V. Pecka1.83441281WSep 14 · 12:30V. Pecka1.837780K. Darin1.831111113LSep 14 · 11:30K. Darin1.61281281J. Steffan2.20111110113LSep 14 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.63117311113K. Darin1.4491111792WSep 14 · 09:30J. Jnr1.90971161K. Darin1.8011115113WSep 14 · 08:00K. Darin1.531111113A. Svoboda2.387380LAug 4 · 10:00K. Darin2.50117881J. Bresky1.5091111113
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