TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129404
Played Sep 14Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141141012118––
Vlastimil Pecka
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Vlastimil Pecka below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 71 set 4, 11-8
71 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 4–5 Vlastimil Pecka Kyryl Darin has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Darin beat Pecka 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pecka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pecka form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.83 / Pecka 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pecka)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129404
Darin1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Pecka1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeDarin4wins
AwayPecka5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderPecka leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin50%3 of 6
AwayPecka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin6Pecka3n = 9Darin took 6 of 9
S2Darin6Pecka3n = 9Darin took 6 of 9
S3Darin3Pecka6n = 9Pecka took 6 of 9
S4Darin2Pecka4n = 6Pecka took 4 of 6
S5Darin1Pecka2n = 3Pecka took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricDarinPeckaD − PBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match37.638.4−0.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinPeckaBasisWin rate · lifetime756 / 1552 vs 31 / 7748.7%40.3%756 / 1552 vs 31 / 77Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.633.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeckaDarin 1.83/Pecka 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 14 · 12:30K. Darin331111113V. Pecka227780
WJun 4 · 13:30K. Darin44111111113V. Pecka38913791
LJun 4 · 12:00K. Darin32511971V. Pecka4011711113
WMay 6 · 13:29K. Darin46511712113V. Pecka48117111092
LMay 6 · 12:00K. Darin48111197102V. Pecka49871111123
LApr 28 · 09:00K. Darin2710890V. Pecka341211113
WApr 28 · 08:30K. Darin361111143V. Pecka2365120
LSep 28 · 18:00K. Darin30115591V. Pecka4181111113
LJul 5 · 18:00K. Darin4213113782V. Pecka511171111113
K. Darin10
WSep 14 · 12:30V. Pecka1.837780K. Darin1.831111113LSep 14 · 11:30K. Darin1.61281281J. Steffan2.20111110113LSep 14 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.63117311113K. Darin1.4491111792WSep 14 · 09:30J. Jnr1.90971161K. Darin1.8011115113WSep 14 · 08:00K. Darin1.531111113A. Svoboda2.387380LSep 14 · 07:30J. Jnr2.101111113K. Darin1.679960WSep 14 · 06:00K. Darin1.44911911133M. Stefek2.63117112112LSep 13 · 13:05F. Jungman1.55111199113K. Darin2.3077111152WSep 13 · 12:30J. Prokupek1.5015661192K. Darin2.501311111113LSep 13 · 11:30K. Darin3.5010960T. Vinter1.281211113
V. Pecka10
LSep 14 · 12:30V. Pecka1.837780K. Darin1.831111113LSep 14 · 11:00V. Pecka2.0081060A. Svoboda1.731112113LSep 14 · 10:00J. Steffan1.7391111113V. Pecka2.00113741LJul 22 · 13:29J. Steffan2.0011411113V. Pecka1.73811991LJul 22 · 12:00J. Steffan1.911111811113V. Pecka1.8091311582WJul 22 · 11:00M. Stefek2.501514111V. Pecka1.50111112133WJul 22 · 10:30V. Pecka1.614111111113R. Hasmanda2.2011137622LJul 1 · 17:10V. Pecka1.831111681M. Fisera1.8391311113WJul 1 · 16:00V. Pecka1.831211113D. Horak1.8310940LJul 1 · 15:30M. Fisera2.20131511113V. Pecka1.611513621
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