TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12281907
Played Jul 22Finished
Jan Steffan
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118411119119––
Vlastimil Pecka
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Vlastimil Pecka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9
74 points played in total.
H2H Jan Steffan 2–2 Vlastimil Pecka Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pecka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Steffan form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 2.00 / Pecka 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pecka)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12281907
Steffan2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 87 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 71
Pecka1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 8 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it60% 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSteffan2wins
AwayPecka2wins
3 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSteffan50%2 of 4
AwayPeckan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Steffan4Pecka0n = 4Steffan took 4 of 4
S2Steffan2Pecka2n = 4split evenly
S3Steffan1Pecka3n = 4Pecka took 3 of 4
S4Steffan2Pecka1n = 3Steffan took 2 of 3
S5Steffan1Pecka2n = 3Pecka took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSteffanPeckaS − PBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match44.042.8+1.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanPeckaBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 953 vs 38 / 8946.7%42.7%445 / 953 vs 38 / 89Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeckaSteffan 2.00/Pecka 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 22 · 12:00J. Steffan521111811113V. Pecka4691311582
WJan 4 · 18:00J. Steffan341111123V. Pecka2688100
LJan 4 · 17:00J. Steffan49116121192V. Pecka53911148113
LSep 22 · 10:00J. Steffan41111141142V. Pecka46561113113
J. Steffan10
WSep 14 · 10:00J. Steffan1.7391111113V. Pecka2.00113741LSep 11 · 12:59J. Steffan1.9139111142M. Svedik1.80111179113WSep 11 · 12:30M. Svedik1.6111460J. Steffan2.201311113LSep 11 · 11:30J. Steffan2.63128721J. Dedek1.44101111113LSep 11 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.00271111113J. Steffan1.7311116852LSep 11 · 09:30T. Andrle1.90871111113J. Steffan1.8011118962WSep 11 · 08:30J. Steffan1.83611612123T. Andrle1.831181110102WSep 11 · 07:00J. Steffan2.20131112113O. Fejtek1.611191491LSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda2.201171011113J. Steffan1.6171112952WSep 9 · 16:59T. Regner2.258760J. Steffan1.571111113
V. Pecka10
LSep 14 · 11:00V. Pecka2.0081060A. Svoboda1.731112113LSep 14 · 10:00J. Steffan1.7391111113V. Pecka2.00113741LJul 22 · 12:00J. Steffan1.911111811113V. Pecka1.8091311582WJul 22 · 11:00M. Stefek2.501514111V. Pecka1.50111112133WJul 22 · 10:30V. Pecka1.614111111113R. Hasmanda2.2011137622LJul 1 · 17:10V. Pecka1.831111681M. Fisera1.8391311113WJul 1 · 16:00V. Pecka1.831211113D. Horak1.8310940LJul 1 · 15:30M. Fisera2.20131511113V. Pecka1.611513621LJul 1 · 14:00V. Pecka1.736560M. Kolar2.001111113LJun 28 · 21:00F. Briza2.2051111113V. Pecka1.61118731
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V. Pecka
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