TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12276871
Played Jul 22Finished
Jan Steffan
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191113811115118
Vlastimil Pecka
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:32 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeJan Steffan to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Vlastimil Pecka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 98 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jan Steffan at 59.5%
98 points played in total.
H2H Jan Steffan 1–2 Vlastimil Pecka Jan Steffan has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:32What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pecka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Steffan 1424 vs Pecka 1386
Steffan
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Steffan 60% vs Pecka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Steffan 30% vs Pecka 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Steffan +2 · Pecka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Steffan)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 1.91 / Pecka 1.80
Signal prob.60% / 41%
Edge (Steffan)+11.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12276871
Steffan1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 87 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 71
Pecka1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 8 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it60% 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSteffan1wins
AwayPecka2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderPecka leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSteffan33.3%1 of 3
AwayPeckan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Steffan3Pecka0n = 3Steffan took 3 of 3
S2Steffan2Pecka1n = 3Steffan took 2 of 3
S3Steffan1Pecka2n = 3Pecka took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSteffanPeckaS − PBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match41.341.7−0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanPeckaBasisWin rate · lifetime444 / 952 vs 38 / 8846.6%43.2%444 / 952 vs 38 / 88Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanSteffan 1.91/Pecka 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.5%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJan 4 · 18:00J. Steffan341111123V. Pecka2688100
LJan 4 · 17:00J. Steffan49116121192V. Pecka53911148113
LSep 22 · 10:00J. Steffan41111141142V. Pecka46561113113
J. Steffan10
WSep 14 · 10:00J. Steffan1.7391111113V. Pecka2.00113741LSep 11 · 12:59J. Steffan1.9139111142M. Svedik1.80111179113WSep 11 · 12:30M. Svedik1.6111460J. Steffan2.201311113LSep 11 · 11:30J. Steffan2.63128721J. Dedek1.44101111113LSep 11 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.00271111113J. Steffan1.7311116852LSep 11 · 09:30T. Andrle1.90871111113J. Steffan1.8011118962WSep 11 · 08:30J. Steffan1.83611612123T. Andrle1.831181110102WSep 11 · 07:00J. Steffan2.20131112113O. Fejtek1.611191491LSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda2.201171011113J. Steffan1.6171112952WSep 9 · 16:59T. Regner2.258760J. Steffan1.571111113
V. Pecka10
LSep 14 · 11:00V. Pecka2.0081060A. Svoboda1.731112113LSep 14 · 10:00J. Steffan1.7391111113V. Pecka2.00113741LJul 22 · 13:29J. Steffan2.0011411113V. Pecka1.73811991WJul 22 · 11:00M. Stefek2.501514111V. Pecka1.50111112133WJul 22 · 10:30V. Pecka1.614111111113R. Hasmanda2.2011137622LJul 1 · 17:10V. Pecka1.831111681M. Fisera1.8391311113WJul 1 · 16:00V. Pecka1.831211113D. Horak1.8310940LJul 1 · 15:30M. Fisera2.20131511113V. Pecka1.611513621LJul 1 · 14:00V. Pecka1.736560M. Kolar2.001111113LJun 28 · 21:00F. Briza2.2051111113V. Pecka1.61118731
Upcoming Matches
J. Steffan
Sep 14 · 11:30J. Steffan2.20K. Darin1.61—Sep 14 · 12:00J. Steffan1.80A. Svoboda1.91—Sep 14 · 22:00J. Steffan1.73O. Kucirek2.00—Sep 14 · 23:30J. Steffan1.91P. Klusacek1.80—Sep 15 · 01:00J. Steffan2.00P. Picek1.73—Sep 15 · 02:30J. Steffan1.80O. Vitrovyj1.91—Sep 15 · 22:00J. Steffan—A. Svoboda——Sep 15 · 23:00J. Steffan—O. Vitrovyj——Sep 16 · 24:30J. Steffan—P. Klusacek——Sep 16 · 02:00J. Steffan—V. Dolezal——
V. Pecka
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