Martin Stefek vs Vlastimil Pecka 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #12276864

Played Jul 22Finished

Martin Stefek

Home

2.50

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 2

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

11151114121113––

Vlastimil Pecka

Away

1.50

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Vlastimil Pecka to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Vlastimil Pecka below

Set 1 · 1-11

Set 2 · 5-11

Set 3 · 14-12

Set 4 · 11-13

Point 78 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Vlastimil Pecka at 54.0%

78 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 12:32

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (63%)

Pecka

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Stefek 1282 vs Pecka 1377

Pecka

Correct

both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Stefek 40% vs Pecka 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Stefek 20% vs Pecka 20%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Stefek -2 · Pecka +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pecka)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pecka form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStefek 2.50 / Pecka 1.50

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Pecka)-8.5pp (anti-value)

Czech Liga Pro · #12276864

Stefek2.50

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog42% won 183 of 437

Down 0–1, comes back19% 45 of 233

Down 0–2, comes back7% 10 of 146

Pecka1.50

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite47% won 8 of 17

Up 1–0, closes it60% 6 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricStefekPeckaBasisWin rate · lifetime518 / 1081 vs 37 / 8747.9%42.5%518 / 1081 vs 37 / 87Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.835.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Pecka

Stefek 2.50/Pecka 1.50

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Pecka · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Pecka won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Stefek10